Citadel Income Fund Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CTF-UN Fund | CAD 3.08 0.08 2.53% |
Citadel Fund outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Citadel Income stock prices and determine the direction of Citadel Income's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Citadel Income's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Citadel Income's share price is below 20 suggesting that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Citadel Income hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citadel Income from the perspective of Citadel Income response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Citadel Income on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.45. Citadel Income after-hype prediction price | CAD 3.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Citadel |
Citadel Income Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Citadel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citadel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citadel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Citadel Income Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Citadel Income on the next trading day is expected to be 3.09 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Citadel Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Citadel Income's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Citadel Income Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Citadel Income | Citadel Income Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Citadel Income Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Citadel Income's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Citadel Income's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.44 and 4.75, respectively. We have considered Citadel Income's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Citadel Income fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Citadel Income fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.2745 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0091 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0408 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0134 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.4467 |
Predictive Modules for Citadel Income
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citadel Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citadel Income's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Citadel Income After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Citadel Income at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citadel Income or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Citadel Income, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Citadel Income Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Citadel Income's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citadel Income's historical news coverage. Citadel Income's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.42 and 4.74, respectively. We have considered Citadel Income's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Citadel Income is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citadel Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
Citadel Income Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Citadel Income is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citadel Income backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citadel Income, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.08 | 3.08 | 0.00 |
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Citadel Income Hype Timeline
Citadel Income is currently traded for 3.08on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Citadel is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Citadel Income is about 8300.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.08. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Citadel Income recorded a loss per share of 0.45. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citadel Income to cross-verify your projections.Citadel Income Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Citadel Income's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citadel Income's future price movements. Getting to know how Citadel Income's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citadel Income may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YCM | Commerce Split Corp | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 3.95 | (1.33) | 17.10 | |
| ENI-UN | Energy Income | 0.01 | 1 per month | 2.85 | 0.03 | 6.63 | (5.91) | 18.68 | |
| MDS-UN | Healthcare Special Opportunities | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.98 | (2.63) | 13.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for Citadel Income
For every potential investor in Citadel, whether a beginner or expert, Citadel Income's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Citadel Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Citadel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Citadel Income's price trends.Citadel Income Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Citadel Income fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Citadel Income could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citadel Income by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Citadel Income Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Citadel Income fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Citadel Income shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Citadel Income fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Citadel Income entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Citadel Income Risk Indicators
The analysis of Citadel Income's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Citadel Income's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting citadel fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Variance | 7.18 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.81 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.06) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Citadel Income
The number of cover stories for Citadel Income depends on current market conditions and Citadel Income's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citadel Income is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citadel Income's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Citadel Income Short Properties
Citadel Income's future price predictability will typically decrease when Citadel Income's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Citadel Income often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Citadel Income's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citadel Income's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.12 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 3.72% |
Other Information on Investing in Citadel Fund
Citadel Income financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citadel Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citadel with respect to the benefits of owning Citadel Income security.
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