Cantaloupe Stock Forward View
| CTLP Stock | USD 10.75 0.01 0.09% |
Cantaloupe Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Cantaloupe's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cantaloupe's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cantaloupe fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength indicator of Cantaloupe's share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cantaloupe, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.017 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.52 | Wall Street Target Price 11.2 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.07 |
Using Cantaloupe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cantaloupe from the perspective of Cantaloupe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cantaloupe using Cantaloupe's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cantaloupe using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cantaloupe's stock price.
Cantaloupe Short Interest
An investor who is long Cantaloupe may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cantaloupe and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cantaloupe with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 10.2301 | Short Percent 0.1318 | Short Ratio 9.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 7 M | 50 Day MA 10.6692 |
Cantaloupe Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cantaloupe on the next trading day is expected to be 10.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.17.Cantaloupe Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cantaloupe's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cantaloupe. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cantaloupe can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cantaloupe. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cantaloupe's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cantaloupe.
Cantaloupe Implied Volatility | 1.66 |
Cantaloupe's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cantaloupe stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cantaloupe's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cantaloupe stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cantaloupe's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cantaloupe on the next trading day is expected to be 10.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.17. Cantaloupe after-hype prediction price | USD 10.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cantaloupe contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cantaloupe will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cantaloupe trading at USD 10.75, that is roughly USD 0.0112 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cantaloupe's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cantaloupe options at the current volatility level of 1.66%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cantaloupe Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cantaloupe's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cantaloupe's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cantaloupe stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cantaloupe's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cantaloupe's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cantaloupe is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cantaloupe. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Cantaloupe Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cantaloupe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cantaloupe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cantaloupe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cantaloupe Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Cantaloupe's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1996-06-30 | Previous Quarter 51.1 M | Current Value 55 M | Quarterly Volatility 22.9 M |
Cantaloupe Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cantaloupe on the next trading day is expected to be 10.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cantaloupe Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cantaloupe's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cantaloupe Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cantaloupe | Cantaloupe Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Cantaloupe Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cantaloupe's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cantaloupe's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.16 and 11.08, respectively. We have considered Cantaloupe's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cantaloupe stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cantaloupe stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.9087 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0355 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0033 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.1674 |
Predictive Modules for Cantaloupe
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cantaloupe. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cantaloupe After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cantaloupe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cantaloupe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cantaloupe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cantaloupe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cantaloupe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cantaloupe's historical news coverage. Cantaloupe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.29 and 11.21, respectively. We have considered Cantaloupe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cantaloupe is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cantaloupe is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cantaloupe Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cantaloupe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cantaloupe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cantaloupe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.75 | 10.75 | 0.00 |
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Cantaloupe Hype Timeline
Cantaloupe is currently traded for 10.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Cantaloupe is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cantaloupe is about 231.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.74. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Cantaloupe was currently reported as 3.42. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 169.33. Cantaloupe had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:100 split on the 17th of February 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cantaloupe to cross-verify your projections.Cantaloupe Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cantaloupe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cantaloupe's future price movements. Getting to know how Cantaloupe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cantaloupe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PSFE | Paysafe | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.29 | (5.16) | 31.29 | |
| ITRN | Ituran Location and | (0.10) | 19 per month | 1.12 | 0.12 | 4.15 | (1.87) | 8.15 | |
| IBTA | Ibotta | (0.08) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.14 | (6.44) | 33.30 | |
| EXOD | Exodus Movement | (0.15) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 6.42 | (8.84) | 32.74 | |
| GDYN | Grid Dynamics Holdings | 0.11 | 10 per month | 2.45 | 0.01 | 5.80 | (4.18) | 27.91 | |
| HKD | AMTD Digital | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 5.04 | (8.72) | 93.20 | |
| YMT | Yimutian American Depositary | (0.04) | 2 per month | 5.25 | 0.05 | 12.06 | (8.57) | 29.18 | |
| SCSC | ScanSource | (1.39) | 11 per month | 1.78 | (0) | 2.68 | (2.86) | 9.34 | |
| GILT | Gilat Satellite Networks | (0.38) | 8 per month | 2.77 | 0.13 | 5.49 | (4.56) | 15.73 | |
| CAN | Canaan Inc | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 11.59 | (10.19) | 29.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cantaloupe
For every potential investor in Cantaloupe, whether a beginner or expert, Cantaloupe's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cantaloupe Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cantaloupe. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cantaloupe's price trends.Cantaloupe Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cantaloupe stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cantaloupe could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cantaloupe by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cantaloupe Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cantaloupe stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cantaloupe shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cantaloupe stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cantaloupe entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cantaloupe Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cantaloupe's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cantaloupe's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cantaloupe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3007 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2845 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.4424 | |||
| Variance | 0.1957 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1471 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0809 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cantaloupe
The number of cover stories for Cantaloupe depends on current market conditions and Cantaloupe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cantaloupe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cantaloupe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cantaloupe Short Properties
Cantaloupe's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cantaloupe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cantaloupe often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cantaloupe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cantaloupe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 51.1 M |
Additional Tools for Cantaloupe Stock Analysis
When running Cantaloupe's price analysis, check to measure Cantaloupe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cantaloupe is operating at the current time. Most of Cantaloupe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cantaloupe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cantaloupe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cantaloupe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.