CareTrust REIT Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CTRE Stock | USD 36.68 0.27 0.74% |
CareTrust Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast CareTrust REIT stock prices and determine the direction of CareTrust REIT's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of CareTrust REIT's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of CareTrust REIT's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CareTrust REIT, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.674 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.39 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.77 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.67 | Wall Street Target Price 41.4546 |
Using CareTrust REIT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CareTrust REIT from the perspective of CareTrust REIT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CareTrust REIT using CareTrust REIT's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CareTrust using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CareTrust REIT's stock price.
CareTrust REIT Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CareTrust REIT's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CareTrust. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CareTrust REIT stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 33.2821 | Short Percent 0.0713 | Short Ratio 7.06 | Shares Short Prior Month 4 M | 50 Day MA 36.9094 |
CareTrust Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CareTrust REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 37.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.62.CareTrust REIT Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CareTrust REIT's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CareTrust. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CareTrust can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CareTrust REIT. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CareTrust REIT's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CareTrust REIT.
CareTrust REIT Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
CareTrust REIT's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CareTrust REIT stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CareTrust REIT's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CareTrust REIT stock will not fluctuate a lot when CareTrust REIT's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of CareTrust REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 37.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.62. CareTrust REIT after-hype prediction price | USD 36.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CareTrust contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CareTrust REIT will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With CareTrust REIT trading at USD 36.68, that is roughly USD 0.0126 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CareTrust REIT's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CareTrust REIT options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 CareTrust Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CareTrust REIT's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CareTrust REIT's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CareTrust REIT stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CareTrust REIT's open interest, investors have to compare it to CareTrust REIT's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CareTrust REIT is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CareTrust. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CareTrust REIT Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CareTrust price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CareTrust using various technical indicators. When you analyze CareTrust charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CareTrust REIT Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of CareTrust REIT on the next trading day is expected to be 37.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CareTrust Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CareTrust REIT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CareTrust REIT Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CareTrust REIT | CareTrust REIT Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CareTrust REIT Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CareTrust REIT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CareTrust REIT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.02 and 38.19, respectively. We have considered CareTrust REIT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CareTrust REIT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CareTrust REIT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8499 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4528 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0124 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.6183 |
Predictive Modules for CareTrust REIT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CareTrust REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CareTrust REIT After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CareTrust REIT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CareTrust REIT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CareTrust REIT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CareTrust REIT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CareTrust REIT's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CareTrust REIT's historical news coverage. CareTrust REIT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.60 and 37.76, respectively. We have considered CareTrust REIT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CareTrust REIT is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CareTrust REIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
CareTrust REIT Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CareTrust REIT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CareTrust REIT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CareTrust REIT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.08 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.68 | 36.68 | 0.00 |
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CareTrust REIT Hype Timeline
CareTrust REIT is currently traded for 36.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. CareTrust is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on CareTrust REIT is about 1767.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.68. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CareTrust REIT was currently reported as 17.93. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.26. CareTrust REIT last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CareTrust REIT to cross-verify your projections.CareTrust REIT Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CareTrust REIT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CareTrust REIT's future price movements. Getting to know how CareTrust REIT's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CareTrust REIT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.75 | (1.90) | 4.39 | |
| STAG | STAG Industrial | 0.56 | 8 per month | 0.75 | (0.0009) | 1.77 | (1.35) | 4.09 | |
| FR | First Industrial Realty | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.82 | (0.0002) | 1.93 | (1.43) | 4.65 | |
| AHR | American Healthcare REIT | (0.07) | 11 per month | 1.25 | 0.06 | 2.60 | (2.64) | 7.94 | |
| VNO | Vornado Realty Trust | (0.07) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.88 | (2.94) | 9.73 | |
| STWD | Starwood Property Trust | 0.12 | 11 per month | 0.90 | (0.02) | 1.75 | (1.44) | 4.49 | |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Realty | 0.43 | 9 per month | 1.07 | (0.02) | 1.57 | (1.71) | 4.72 | |
| TRNO | Terreno Realty | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.06 | 2.22 | (2.27) | 5.89 | |
| SBRA | Sabra Healthcare REIT | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.95 | 0.06 | 2.04 | (1.68) | 6.08 |
Other Forecasting Options for CareTrust REIT
For every potential investor in CareTrust, whether a beginner or expert, CareTrust REIT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CareTrust Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CareTrust. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CareTrust REIT's price trends.CareTrust REIT Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CareTrust REIT stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CareTrust REIT could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CareTrust REIT by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CareTrust REIT Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CareTrust REIT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CareTrust REIT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CareTrust REIT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CareTrust REIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CareTrust REIT Risk Indicators
The analysis of CareTrust REIT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CareTrust REIT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caretrust stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8806 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Variance | 1.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.23 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CareTrust REIT
The number of cover stories for CareTrust REIT depends on current market conditions and CareTrust REIT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CareTrust REIT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CareTrust REIT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CareTrust REIT Short Properties
CareTrust REIT's future price predictability will typically decrease when CareTrust REIT's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CareTrust REIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CareTrust REIT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CareTrust REIT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 155.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 213.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CareTrust REIT to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CareTrust Stock refer to our How to Trade CareTrust Stock guide.You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Will Diversified REITs sector continue expanding? Could CareTrust diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CareTrust REIT. Projected growth potential of CareTrust fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CareTrust REIT data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.674 | Dividend Share 1.295 | Earnings Share 1.37 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.712 |
Understanding CareTrust REIT requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects CareTrust's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what CareTrust REIT's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push CareTrust REIT's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between CareTrust REIT's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CareTrust REIT should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, CareTrust REIT's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.