Clearway Energy Stock Forward View

CWEN-A Stock  USD 37.40  0.07  0.19%   
Clearway Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Clearway Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Clearway Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Clearway Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Clearway Energy's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Clearway Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Clearway Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Clearway Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.556
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.29)
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.57
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.135
Wall Street Target Price
38
Using Clearway Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Clearway Energy from the perspective of Clearway Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Clearway Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Clearway Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 38.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.73.

Clearway Energy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Clearway Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Clearway. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Clearway can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Clearway Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Clearway Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Clearway Energy.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Clearway Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 38.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.73.

Clearway Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearway Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Clearway Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Clearway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Clearway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Clearway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Clearway Energy Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Clearway Energy's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2012-12-31
Previous Quarter
260 M
Current Value
251 M
Quarterly Volatility
266.3 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Clearway Energy is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Clearway Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Clearway Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Clearway Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 38.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.73.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clearway Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clearway Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Clearway Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Clearway Energy  Clearway Energy Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Clearway Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Clearway Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clearway Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.71 and 40.14, respectively. We have considered Clearway Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.40
38.42
Expected Value
40.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clearway Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clearway Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.0972
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5279
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors32.7286
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Clearway Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Clearway Energy. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Clearway Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearway Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.9337.6439.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.6641.2542.96
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
34.5838.0042.18
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.10.390.69
Details

Clearway Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Clearway Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Clearway Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Clearway Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Clearway Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Clearway Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Clearway Energy's historical news coverage. Clearway Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.93 and 39.35, respectively. We have considered Clearway Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.40
37.64
After-hype Price
39.35
Upside
Clearway Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Clearway Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Clearway Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Clearway Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Clearway Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Clearway Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.71
  0.24 
  0.02 
29 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 29 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.40
37.64
0.64 
133.59  
Notes

Clearway Energy Hype Timeline

Clearway Energy is currently traded for 37.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Clearway is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 133.59%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.64%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Clearway Energy is about 1965.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.42. The company reported the revenue of 1.37 B. Net Loss for the year was (63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 871 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 29 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearway Energy to cross-verify your projections.

Clearway Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Clearway Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Clearway Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Clearway Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Clearway Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ORAOrmat Technologies(2.02)10 per month 1.73  0.01  2.95 (2.41) 8.06 
BEPCBrookfield Renewable Corp 0.16 10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.49 (2.68) 8.08 
BEPBrookfield Renewable Partners 0.49 8 per month 1.49 (0.03) 3.22 (2.20) 6.87 
CIG-CEnergy of Minas(0.06)5 per month 1.84  0.06  4.09 (3.09) 12.96 
CIGCompanhia Energetica de 0.02 4 per month 2.10  0.02  3.27 (3.20) 9.11 
TXNMTXNM Energy 0.06 10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 0.52 (0.31) 1.45 
CMSCMS Energy(0.40)9 per month 1.03 (0.05) 1.31 (1.37) 4.16 
SWXSouthwest Gas Holdings 0.06 10 per month 0.80  0.06  2.06 (1.61) 5.13 
IDAIDACORP 2.41 10 per month 0.81  0.07  1.69 (1.35) 4.65 
PCGPGE Corp 0.15 10 per month 1.45  0.02  2.45 (2.31) 6.66 

Other Forecasting Options for Clearway Energy

For every potential investor in Clearway, whether a beginner or expert, Clearway Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clearway Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clearway. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clearway Energy's price trends.

Clearway Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clearway Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clearway Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clearway Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Clearway Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clearway Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clearway Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clearway Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Clearway Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Clearway Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Clearway Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clearway Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clearway stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Clearway Energy

The number of cover stories for Clearway Energy depends on current market conditions and Clearway Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Clearway Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Clearway Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Clearway Energy Short Properties

Clearway Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Clearway Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Clearway Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Clearway Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clearway Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118 M
Cash And Short Term Investments332 M

Other Information on Investing in Clearway Stock

Clearway Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Clearway Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Clearway with respect to the benefits of owning Clearway Energy security.