Camping World Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| CWH Stock | USD 14.24 0.09 0.63% |
Camping Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Camping World's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Camping World's stock price is under 65 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 27th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Camping, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.227 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.27) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3617 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8339 | Wall Street Target Price 17.5833 |
Using Camping World hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Camping World Holdings from the perspective of Camping World response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Camping World using Camping World's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Camping using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Camping World's stock price.
Camping World Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Camping World's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Camping. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Camping World stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 14.8269 | Short Percent 0.1833 | Short Ratio 5.68 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.3 M | 50 Day MA 11.022 |
Camping Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Camping World Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 14.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.11.Camping World Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Camping World's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Camping. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Camping can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Camping World Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Camping World's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Camping World.
Camping World Implied Volatility | 0.89 |
Camping World's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Camping World Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Camping World's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Camping World stock will not fluctuate a lot when Camping World's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Camping World Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 14.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.11. Camping World after-hype prediction price | USD 14.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Camping World to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Camping contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Camping World Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0556% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Camping World trading at USD 14.24, that is roughly USD 0.007921 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Camping World's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Camping World Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Camping Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Camping World's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Camping World's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Camping World stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Camping World's open interest, investors have to compare it to Camping World's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Camping World is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Camping. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Camping World Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Camping price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Camping using various technical indicators. When you analyze Camping charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Camping World Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Camping World Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 14.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.11.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Camping Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Camping World's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Camping World Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Camping World | Camping World Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Camping World Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Camping World's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Camping World's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.61 and 18.24, respectively. We have considered Camping World's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Camping World stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Camping World stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0758 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3069 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0267 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.1088 |
Predictive Modules for Camping World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Camping World Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Camping World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Camping World After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Camping World at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Camping World or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Camping World, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Camping World Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Camping World's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Camping World's historical news coverage. Camping World's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.57 and 18.21, respectively. We have considered Camping World's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Camping World is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Camping World Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Camping World Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Camping World is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Camping World backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Camping World, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 3.82 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.24 | 14.39 | 0.42 |
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Camping World Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Camping World Holdings is traded for 14.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Camping is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.39 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.42%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Camping World is about 1625.53%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.17. The company reported the last year's revenue of 6.1 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (38.64 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.92 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Camping World to cross-verify your projections.Camping World Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Camping World's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Camping World's future price movements. Getting to know how Camping World's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Camping World may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SES | SES AI Corp | (0.06) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.80 | (8.37) | 26.80 | |
| ECX | ECARX Holdings Class | (0.13) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.25 | (10.48) | 26.42 | |
| HEPS | D MARKET Electronic Services | (0.01) | 9 per month | 4.86 | 0.03 | 3.23 | (4.94) | 61.70 | |
| SMP | Standard Motor Products | 0.62 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.07 | (2.25) | 7.22 | |
| HOV | Hovnanian Enterprises | (2.41) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.93 | (5.13) | 34.59 | |
| SABR | Sabre Corpo | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.51 | (7.73) | 24.80 | |
| CANG | Cango Inc | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.83 | (7.64) | 25.75 | |
| AEVA | Aeva Technologies Common | (0.26) | 9 per month | 6.69 | (0) | 16.00 | (10.24) | 48.05 | |
| CARS | Cars Inc | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.89 | 0.06 | 3.99 | (3.44) | 10.98 | |
| SG | Sweetgreen | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.86 | (6.98) | 23.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Camping World
For every potential investor in Camping, whether a beginner or expert, Camping World's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Camping Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Camping. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Camping World's price trends.Camping World Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Camping World stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Camping World could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Camping World by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Camping World Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Camping World stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Camping World shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Camping World stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Camping World Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Camping World Risk Indicators
The analysis of Camping World's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Camping World's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting camping stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.94 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.81 | |||
| Variance | 23.15 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Camping World
The number of cover stories for Camping World depends on current market conditions and Camping World's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Camping World is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Camping World's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Camping World Short Properties
Camping World's future price predictability will typically decrease when Camping World's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Camping World Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Camping World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Camping World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 48 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 208.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Camping World to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Automotive Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Camping World. If investors know Camping will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Camping World listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.227 | Dividend Share 0.5 | Earnings Share (1.00) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
The market value of Camping World Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Camping that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Camping World's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Camping World's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Camping World's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Camping World's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Camping World's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Camping World is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Camping World's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.