Aeva Technologies Common Stock Price Prediction
| AEVA Stock | USD 13.28 0.08 0.61% |
Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.43) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.82) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.80) | Wall Street Target Price 24.11 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.45) |
Using Aeva Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aeva Technologies Common from the perspective of Aeva Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aeva Technologies using Aeva Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aeva using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aeva Technologies' stock price.
Aeva Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Aeva Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Aeva. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Aeva Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 15.5313 | Short Percent 0.3195 | Short Ratio 4.46 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.4 M | 50 Day MA 13.5904 |
Aeva Technologies Common Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aeva Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aeva. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aeva can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aeva Technologies Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aeva Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aeva Technologies.
Aeva Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.51 |
Aeva Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aeva Technologies Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aeva Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aeva Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aeva Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aeva Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aeva because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aeva Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 13.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aeva contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aeva Technologies Common will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0944% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Aeva Technologies trading at USD 13.28, that is roughly USD 0.0125 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aeva Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aeva Technologies Common options at the current volatility level of 1.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Aeva Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aeva Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aeva Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aeva Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aeva Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aeva Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aeva Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aeva Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aeva Technologies' historical news coverage. Aeva Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.31 and 20.25, respectively. We have considered Aeva Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aeva Technologies is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aeva Technologies Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aeva Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aeva Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aeva Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aeva Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 7.01 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.28 | 13.28 | 0.00 |
|
Aeva Technologies Hype Timeline
Aeva Technologies Common is presently traded for 13.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Aeva is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aeva Technologies is about 9602.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.27. About 23.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aeva Technologies Common recorded a loss per share of 2.82. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:5 split on the 19th of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Aeva Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aeva Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aeva Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aeva Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Aeva Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aeva Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.32 | (5.82) | 29.78 | |
| ECX | ECARX Holdings Class | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.25 | (10.88) | 26.42 | |
| SES | SES AI Corp | 0.16 | 12 per month | 5.68 | 0.03 | 14.50 | (10.36) | 31.11 | |
| SMP | Standard Motor Products | (1.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.11 | (2.25) | 7.10 | |
| XPEL | Xpel Inc | (0.25) | 10 per month | 1.10 | 0.30 | 3.31 | (2.15) | 8.87 | |
| AXL | American Axle Manufacturing | 0.36 | 11 per month | 2.88 | 0.03 | 4.49 | (5.80) | 12.66 | |
| SABR | Sabre Corpo | (0.31) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.82 | (5.33) | 24.58 | |
| CWH | Camping World Holdings | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.02 | (6.47) | 28.90 | |
| CNNE | Cannae Holdings | 0.16 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.57 | (2.76) | 12.76 | |
| PLOW | Douglas Dynamics | 0.35 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.02 | 2.32 | (2.20) | 8.83 |
Aeva Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aeva price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aeva using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aeva charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aeva Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aeva Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aeva Technologies Common, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aeva Technologies based on analysis of Aeva Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aeva Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aeva Technologies's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 65.01 | 51.22 | 58.9 | 55.95 | PTB Ratio | 0.75 | 2.55 | 2.93 | 2.79 |
Story Coverage note for Aeva Technologies
The number of cover stories for Aeva Technologies depends on current market conditions and Aeva Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aeva Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aeva Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aeva Technologies Short Properties
Aeva Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Aeva Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aeva Technologies Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aeva Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aeva Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 112 M |
Complementary Tools for Aeva Stock analysis
When running Aeva Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Aeva Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aeva Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Aeva Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aeva Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aeva Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aeva Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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