Digi International Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| DGII Stock | USD 44.03 0.96 2.23% |
Digi Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Digi International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Digi International's share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Digi International, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.52 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.3833 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5925 | Wall Street Target Price 48.1667 |
Using Digi International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Digi International from the perspective of Digi International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Digi International using Digi International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Digi using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Digi International's stock price.
Digi International Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Digi International's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Digi. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Digi International stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 36.342 | Short Percent 0.0492 | Short Ratio 4.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 43.2856 |
Digi Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Digi International on the next trading day is expected to be 44.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.60.Digi International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Digi International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Digi. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Digi can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Digi International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Digi International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Digi International.
Digi International Implied Volatility | 0.89 |
Digi International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Digi International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Digi International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Digi International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Digi International's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Digi International on the next trading day is expected to be 44.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.60. Digi International after-hype prediction price | USD 43.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Digi International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Digi contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Digi International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0556% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Digi International trading at USD 44.03, that is roughly USD 0.0245 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Digi International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Digi International options at the current volatility level of 0.89%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Digi Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Digi International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Digi International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Digi International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Digi International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Digi International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Digi International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Digi. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Digi International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Digi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Digi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Digi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Digi International Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Digi International on the next trading day is expected to be 44.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.77, mean absolute percentage error of 0.98, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Digi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Digi International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Digi International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Digi International | Digi International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Digi International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Digi International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Digi International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.90 and 46.29, respectively. We have considered Digi International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Digi International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Digi International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0974 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7728 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0185 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.5962 |
Predictive Modules for Digi International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digi International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Digi International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Digi International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Digi International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Digi International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Digi International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Digi International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Digi International's historical news coverage. Digi International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.72 and 46.10, respectively. We have considered Digi International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Digi International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Digi International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Digi International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Digi International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Digi International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Digi International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.19 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
44.03 | 43.91 | 0.27 |
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Digi International Hype Timeline
Digi International is currently traded for 44.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Digi is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 43.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.27%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Digi International is about 1646.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.08. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Digi International was currently reported as 17.11. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.83. Digi International had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 3:2 split on the 1st of April 1992. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Digi International to cross-verify your projections.Digi International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Digi International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Digi International's future price movements. Getting to know how Digi International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Digi International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HLIT | Harmonic | 0.18 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.24 | (3.80) | 11.35 | |
| KARO | Karooooo | 0.40 | 8 per month | 1.57 | 0.05 | 5.56 | (2.84) | 10.39 | |
| ATEN | A10 Network | (0.31) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.09 | (3.16) | 7.45 | |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | (0.22) | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.13 | 3.37 | (3.10) | 8.33 | |
| TUYA | Tuya Inc ADR | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.87 | (3.81) | 16.88 | |
| VRNT | Verint Systems | 1.49 | 8 per month | 0.06 | (0.15) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 0.79 | |
| MXL | MaxLinear | (0.27) | 7 per month | 3.63 | 0.04 | 6.20 | (6.25) | 15.00 | |
| PLTK | Playtika Holding Corp | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 2.99 | (3.21) | 17.80 | |
| GILT | Gilat Satellite Networks | (0.04) | 9 per month | 2.77 | 0.13 | 5.49 | (4.56) | 15.73 | |
| AMPL | Amplitude | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.19 | (4.53) | 14.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Digi International
For every potential investor in Digi, whether a beginner or expert, Digi International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Digi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Digi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Digi International's price trends.Digi International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Digi International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Digi International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Digi International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Digi International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Digi International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Digi International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Digi International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Digi International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Digi International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Digi International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Digi International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting digi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Variance | 4.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.48 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.68) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Digi International
The number of cover stories for Digi International depends on current market conditions and Digi International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Digi International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Digi International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Digi International Short Properties
Digi International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Digi International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Digi International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Digi International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Digi International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Digi International to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Digi Stock please use our How to Invest in Digi International guide.You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Is there potential for Communications Equipment market expansion? Will Digi introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Digi International. Projected growth potential of Digi fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Digi International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | Earnings Share 1.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.088 | Return On Assets |
Digi International's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Digi's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Digi International's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since Digi International's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Digi International's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Digi International should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Digi International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.