Dine Brands Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| DIN Stock | USD 34.98 0.78 2.18% |
Dine Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Dine Brands' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Dine Brands' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Dine Brands fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Dine Brands' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9889 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.011 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.8334 | Wall Street Target Price 34.25 |
Using Dine Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dine Brands Global from the perspective of Dine Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dine Brands using Dine Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dine using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dine Brands' stock price.
Dine Brands Short Interest
An investor who is long Dine Brands may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Dine Brands and may potentially protect profits, hedge Dine Brands with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 26.8726 | Short Percent 0.1784 | Short Ratio 4.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 34.3638 |
Dine Relative Strength Index
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dine Brands Global on the next trading day is expected to be 34.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.38.Dine Brands Global Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dine Brands' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dine. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dine can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dine Brands Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dine Brands' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dine Brands.
Dine Brands Implied Volatility | 0.95 |
Dine Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dine Brands Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dine Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dine Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dine Brands' options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dine Brands Global on the next trading day is expected to be 34.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72 and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.38. Dine Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 35.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dine Brands to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dine contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dine Brands Global will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0594% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Dine Brands trading at USD 34.98, that is roughly USD 0.0208 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dine Brands' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dine Brands Global options at the current volatility level of 0.95%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Dine Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dine Brands' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dine Brands' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dine Brands stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dine Brands' open interest, investors have to compare it to Dine Brands' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dine Brands is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dine. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Dine Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dine Brands Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dine Brands Global on the next trading day is expected to be 34.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.72, mean absolute percentage error of 0.77, and the sum of the absolute errors of 43.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dine Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dine Brands Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dine Brands | Dine Brands Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Dine Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dine Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dine Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.33 and 37.53, respectively. We have considered Dine Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dine Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dine Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1455 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.723 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0222 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 43.3813 |
Predictive Modules for Dine Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dine Brands Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dine Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dine Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dine Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dine Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dine Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dine Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dine Brands' historical news coverage. Dine Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.89 and 38.17, respectively. We have considered Dine Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dine Brands is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dine Brands Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dine Brands Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dine Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dine Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dine Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 2.60 | 0.50 | 0.06 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
34.98 | 35.53 | 1.63 |
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Dine Brands Hype Timeline
On the 11th of February 2026 Dine Brands Global is traded for 34.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Dine is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.63%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Dine Brands is about 2063.49%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.92. The company reported the last year's revenue of 812.31 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 64.89 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 357.17 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dine Brands to cross-verify your projections.Dine Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dine Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dine Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Dine Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dine Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTLO | Portillos | 0.02 | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.07 | 5.19 | (4.25) | 14.89 | |
| LOCO | El Pollo Loco | 0.20 | 11 per month | 1.72 | (0.03) | 3.20 | (2.74) | 7.70 | |
| CAL | Caleres | 1.12 | 8 per month | 3.25 | 0.02 | 6.09 | (5.59) | 19.93 | |
| JACK | Jack In The | (0.14) | 11 per month | 3.87 | 0.06 | 8.01 | (6.78) | 22.15 | |
| NATH | Nathans Famous | 0.22 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.33 | (3.41) | 9.78 | |
| HVT | Haverty Furniture Companies | (0.42) | 7 per month | 1.32 | 0.09 | 3.82 | (2.43) | 9.36 | |
| WW | WW International Common | (0.12) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 12.15 | (8.96) | 27.90 | |
| BLMN | Bloomin Brands | (1.97) | 15 per month | 4.41 | (0.02) | 6.80 | (7.22) | 22.59 | |
| INVZ | Innoviz Technologies | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.26 | (7.09) | 34.74 | |
| HNST | Honest Company | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 5.62 | (5.47) | 29.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dine Brands
For every potential investor in Dine, whether a beginner or expert, Dine Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dine Brands' price trends.Dine Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dine Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dine Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dine Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dine Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dine Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dine Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dine Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dine Brands Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7716.5 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.65) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 35.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 35.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.94) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.78) |
Dine Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dine Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dine Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.88 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.01 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.43) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dine Brands
The number of cover stories for Dine Brands depends on current market conditions and Dine Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dine Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dine Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dine Brands Short Properties
Dine Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Dine Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dine Brands Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dine Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dine Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 186.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dine Brands to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Will Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector continue expanding? Could Dine diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dine Brands. Projected growth potential of Dine fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Dine Brands data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Dividend Share 2.04 | Earnings Share 2.24 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.108 |
Dine Brands Global's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Dine's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Dine Brands' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Dine Brands' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Dine Brands' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Dine Brands should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Dine Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.