HF Sinclair Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| DINO Stock | USD 52.00 0.75 1.46% |
DINO Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although HF Sinclair's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of HF Sinclair's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of HF Sinclair fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of HF Sinclair's share price is at 56 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling HF Sinclair, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.389 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0542 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3499 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.0013 | Wall Street Target Price 60.4286 |
Using HF Sinclair hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HF Sinclair Corp from the perspective of HF Sinclair response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards HF Sinclair using HF Sinclair's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DINO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of HF Sinclair's stock price.
HF Sinclair Short Interest
An investor who is long HF Sinclair may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about HF Sinclair and may potentially protect profits, hedge HF Sinclair with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 45.7378 | Short Percent 0.0691 | Short Ratio 4.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.6 M | 50 Day MA 49.7956 |
DINO Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HF Sinclair Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 51.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.41.HF Sinclair Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to HF Sinclair's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DINO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DINO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around HF Sinclair Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of HF Sinclair's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about HF Sinclair.
HF Sinclair Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
HF Sinclair's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of HF Sinclair Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if HF Sinclair's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that HF Sinclair stock will not fluctuate a lot when HF Sinclair's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HF Sinclair Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 51.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.41. HF Sinclair after-hype prediction price | USD 52.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HF Sinclair to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DINO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that HF Sinclair Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With HF Sinclair trading at USD 52.0, that is roughly USD 0.0153 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating HF Sinclair's daily price movement you should consider acquiring HF Sinclair Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 DINO Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast HF Sinclair's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in HF Sinclair's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for HF Sinclair stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current HF Sinclair's open interest, investors have to compare it to HF Sinclair's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of HF Sinclair is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in DINO. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
HF Sinclair Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DINO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DINO using various technical indicators. When you analyze DINO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
HF Sinclair Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of HF Sinclair Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 51.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DINO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that HF Sinclair's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
HF Sinclair Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest HF Sinclair | HF Sinclair Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
HF Sinclair Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting HF Sinclair's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. HF Sinclair's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.79 and 53.46, respectively. We have considered HF Sinclair's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of HF Sinclair stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent HF Sinclair stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.438 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0307 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7866 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.41 |
Predictive Modules for HF Sinclair
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HF Sinclair Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HF Sinclair After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HF Sinclair at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HF Sinclair or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of HF Sinclair, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HF Sinclair Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HF Sinclair's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HF Sinclair's historical news coverage. HF Sinclair's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.17 and 53.83, respectively. We have considered HF Sinclair's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HF Sinclair is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HF Sinclair Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
HF Sinclair Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HF Sinclair is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HF Sinclair backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HF Sinclair, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.83 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
52.00 | 52.00 | 0.00 |
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HF Sinclair Hype Timeline
HF Sinclair Corp is currently traded for 52.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. DINO is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on HF Sinclair is about 642.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.99. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. HF Sinclair Corp last dividend was issued on the 19th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 1st of September 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HF Sinclair to cross-verify your projections.HF Sinclair Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HF Sinclair's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HF Sinclair's future price movements. Getting to know how HF Sinclair's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HF Sinclair may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AR | Antero Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.10 | 0.03 | 3.73 | (3.18) | 9.49 | |
| OVV | Ovintiv | 0.14 | 26 per month | 1.87 | 0.10 | 3.64 | (3.04) | 8.85 | |
| PAA | Plains All American | (2.10) | 19 per month | 0.39 | 0.29 | 1.84 | (1.26) | 4.09 | |
| DTM | DT Midstream | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | 0.13 | 1.78 | (1.75) | 4.48 | |
| RRC | Range Resources Corp | (0.17) | 12 per month | 2.11 | (0.02) | 3.16 | (3.01) | 9.60 | |
| AM | Antero Midstream Partners | (0.07) | 9 per month | 1.11 | 0.03 | 1.82 | (1.86) | 5.96 | |
| PR | Permian Resources | (0.06) | 6 per month | 1.46 | 0.18 | 3.66 | (2.39) | 9.61 | |
| SUN | Sunoco LP | 1.76 | 8 per month | 1.02 | 0.09 | 2.07 | (2.08) | 5.09 | |
| NFG | National Fuel Gas | (2.10) | 11 per month | 1.03 | (0) | 1.72 | (1.54) | 5.52 | |
| APA | APA Corporation | (0.25) | 10 per month | 2.11 | 0.05 | 4.70 | (3.50) | 14.33 |
Other Forecasting Options for HF Sinclair
For every potential investor in DINO, whether a beginner or expert, HF Sinclair's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DINO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DINO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying HF Sinclair's price trends.HF Sinclair Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with HF Sinclair stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of HF Sinclair could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HF Sinclair by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
HF Sinclair Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how HF Sinclair stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading HF Sinclair shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying HF Sinclair stock market strength indicators, traders can identify HF Sinclair Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
HF Sinclair Risk Indicators
The analysis of HF Sinclair's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in HF Sinclair's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dino stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.91 | |||
| Variance | 3.65 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for HF Sinclair
The number of cover stories for HF Sinclair depends on current market conditions and HF Sinclair's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that HF Sinclair is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about HF Sinclair's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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HF Sinclair Short Properties
HF Sinclair's future price predictability will typically decrease when HF Sinclair's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of HF Sinclair Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential HF Sinclair's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HF Sinclair's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 192.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 800 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of HF Sinclair to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Will Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing sector continue expanding? Could DINO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HF Sinclair. Projected growth potential of DINO fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every HF Sinclair data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.389 | Dividend Share 2 | Earnings Share 2.11 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.006 |
Understanding HF Sinclair Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects DINO's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what HF Sinclair's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push HF Sinclair's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between HF Sinclair's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding HF Sinclair should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, HF Sinclair's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.