Dios Fastigheter Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| DIOS Stock | SEK 65.80 1.30 2.02% |
Dios Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Dios Fastigheter's share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dios Fastigheter, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Dios Fastigheter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dios Fastigheter AB from the perspective of Dios Fastigheter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dios Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 65.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.35. Dios Fastigheter after-hype prediction price | SEK 65.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Dios |
Dios Fastigheter Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dios price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dios using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dios charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dios Fastigheter Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dios Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 65.85 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.62, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dios Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dios Fastigheter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dios Fastigheter Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dios Fastigheter | Dios Fastigheter Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dios Fastigheter Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dios Fastigheter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dios Fastigheter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 64.65 and 67.05, respectively. We have considered Dios Fastigheter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dios Fastigheter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dios Fastigheter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.13 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6059 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0094 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.3518 |
Predictive Modules for Dios Fastigheter
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dios Fastigheter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dios Fastigheter After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dios Fastigheter at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dios Fastigheter or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dios Fastigheter, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dios Fastigheter Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dios Fastigheter's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dios Fastigheter's historical news coverage. Dios Fastigheter's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 64.61 and 66.99, respectively. We have considered Dios Fastigheter's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dios Fastigheter is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dios Fastigheter is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dios Fastigheter Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dios Fastigheter is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dios Fastigheter backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dios Fastigheter, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
65.80 | 65.80 | 0.00 |
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Dios Fastigheter Hype Timeline
Dios Fastigheter is currently traded for 65.80on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dios is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dios Fastigheter is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.80. About 31.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dios Fastigheter recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.7. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2023. The firm had 241:189 split on the 3rd of January 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dios Fastigheter to cross-verify your projections.Dios Fastigheter Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dios Fastigheter's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dios Fastigheter's future price movements. Getting to know how Dios Fastigheter's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dios Fastigheter may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FPAR-A | FastPartner AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.67 | (2.28) | 7.33 | |
| SLP-B | Swedish Logistic Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | (0.03) | 2.70 | (2.06) | 7.27 | |
| PLAZ-B | Platzer Fastigheter Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | (0.03) | 2.69 | (2.18) | 6.84 | |
| SBB-B | Samhllsbyggnadsbolaget i Norden | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.84 | (3.44) | 9.29 | |
| STEF-B | Stendrren Fastigheter AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | (0.02) | 3.41 | (2.04) | 9.14 | |
| CORE-B | Corem Property Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.12 | 0.05 | 3.63 | (4.24) | 9.96 | |
| EMIL-B | Fastighetsbolaget Emilshus AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.11 | (2.82) | 8.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dios Fastigheter
For every potential investor in Dios, whether a beginner or expert, Dios Fastigheter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dios Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dios. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dios Fastigheter's price trends.Dios Fastigheter Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dios Fastigheter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dios Fastigheter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dios Fastigheter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dios Fastigheter Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dios Fastigheter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dios Fastigheter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dios Fastigheter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dios Fastigheter AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dios Fastigheter Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dios Fastigheter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dios Fastigheter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dios stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9046 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9795 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Variance | 1.41 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9594 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.96) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dios Fastigheter
The number of cover stories for Dios Fastigheter depends on current market conditions and Dios Fastigheter's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dios Fastigheter is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dios Fastigheter's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dios Fastigheter Short Properties
Dios Fastigheter's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dios Fastigheter's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dios Fastigheter AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dios Fastigheter's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dios Fastigheter's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 141.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Additional Tools for Dios Stock Analysis
When running Dios Fastigheter's price analysis, check to measure Dios Fastigheter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dios Fastigheter is operating at the current time. Most of Dios Fastigheter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dios Fastigheter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dios Fastigheter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dios Fastigheter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.