Dios Fastigheter Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

DIOS Stock  SEK 67.90  3.25  5.03%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dios Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 67.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.09. Dios Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Dios Fastigheter's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dios Fastigheter's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dios Fastigheter AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Dios Fastigheter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dios Fastigheter AB from the perspective of Dios Fastigheter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dios Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 67.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.09.

Dios Fastigheter after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 67.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dios Fastigheter to cross-verify your projections.

Dios Fastigheter Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dios price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dios using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dios charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Dios Fastigheter polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Dios Fastigheter AB as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Dios Fastigheter Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Dios Fastigheter AB on the next trading day is expected to be 67.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18, mean absolute percentage error of 2.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.09.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dios Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dios Fastigheter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dios Fastigheter Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dios FastigheterDios Fastigheter Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dios Fastigheter Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dios Fastigheter's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dios Fastigheter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 66.47 and 69.15, respectively. We have considered Dios Fastigheter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
67.90
67.81
Expected Value
69.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dios Fastigheter stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dios Fastigheter stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7295
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1788
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0179
SAESum of the absolute errors73.0863
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Dios Fastigheter historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Dios Fastigheter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dios Fastigheter. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.5667.9069.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.3456.6874.69
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dios Fastigheter

For every potential investor in Dios, whether a beginner or expert, Dios Fastigheter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dios Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dios. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dios Fastigheter's price trends.

Dios Fastigheter Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dios Fastigheter stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dios Fastigheter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dios Fastigheter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dios Fastigheter Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dios Fastigheter's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dios Fastigheter's current price.

Dios Fastigheter Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dios Fastigheter stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dios Fastigheter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dios Fastigheter stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dios Fastigheter AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dios Fastigheter Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dios Fastigheter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dios Fastigheter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dios stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Investing Ideas  

Additional Tools for Dios Stock Analysis

When running Dios Fastigheter's price analysis, check to measure Dios Fastigheter's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dios Fastigheter is operating at the current time. Most of Dios Fastigheter's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dios Fastigheter's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dios Fastigheter's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dios Fastigheter to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.