Walt Disney Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| DISN Stock | ARS 12,760 40.00 0.31% |
Walt Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Walt Disney stock prices and determine the direction of Walt Disney's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Walt Disney's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the value of RSI of Walt Disney's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Walt Disney, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Walt Disney hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Walt Disney from the perspective of Walt Disney response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Walt Disney on the next trading day is expected to be 13,547 with a mean absolute deviation of 534.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32,598. Walt Disney after-hype prediction price | ARS 12760.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Walt |
Walt Disney Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Walt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Walt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Walt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Walt Disney Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Walt Disney on the next trading day is expected to be 13,547 with a mean absolute deviation of 534.39, mean absolute percentage error of 349,309, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32,598.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Walt Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Walt Disney's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Walt Disney Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Walt Disney | Walt Disney Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Walt Disney Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Walt Disney's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Walt Disney's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13,546 and 13,549, respectively. We have considered Walt Disney's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Walt Disney stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Walt Disney stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 130.8742 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 534.3945 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.039 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32598.0615 |
Predictive Modules for Walt Disney
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Walt Disney. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Walt Disney After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Walt Disney at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Walt Disney or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Walt Disney, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Walt Disney Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Walt Disney's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Walt Disney's historical news coverage. Walt Disney's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12,758 and 12,762, respectively. We have considered Walt Disney's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Walt Disney is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Walt Disney is based on 3 months time horizon.
Walt Disney Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Walt Disney is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Walt Disney backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Walt Disney, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12,760 | 12,760 | 0.00 |
|
Walt Disney Hype Timeline
Walt Disney is currently traded for 12,760on Buenos Aires Exchange of Argentina. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Walt is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Walt Disney is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12,760. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.94. Walt Disney last dividend was issued on the 11th of December 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Walt Disney to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Walt Stock refer to our How to Trade Walt Stock guide.Walt Disney Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Walt Disney's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Walt Disney's future price movements. Getting to know how Walt Disney's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Walt Disney may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VZ | Verizon Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.09 | 2.11 | (2.69) | 13.39 | |
| TECO2 | Telecom Argentina | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.79 | (4.26) | 20.19 | |
| AGRO | Agrometal SAI | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.67 | (4.58) | 12.77 | |
| HMY | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.50 | 0.07 | 6.08 | (5.55) | 21.61 | |
| TGSU2 | Transportadora de Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.51 | (2.61) | 11.49 | |
| HD | Home Depot CEDEAR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.04 | 2.91 | (2.54) | 7.58 | |
| TRAN | Compania de Transporte | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.79 | 0.04 | 5.00 | (5.29) | 17.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Walt Disney
For every potential investor in Walt, whether a beginner or expert, Walt Disney's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Walt Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Walt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Walt Disney's price trends.Walt Disney Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Walt Disney stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Walt Disney could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Walt Disney by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Walt Disney Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Walt Disney stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Walt Disney shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Walt Disney stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Walt Disney entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0316 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.1) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 12755.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12756.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 410.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (15.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (40.00) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.27 |
Walt Disney Risk Indicators
The analysis of Walt Disney's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Walt Disney's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting walt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Variance | 3.03 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Walt Disney
The number of cover stories for Walt Disney depends on current market conditions and Walt Disney's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Walt Disney is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Walt Disney's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Walt Stock
When determining whether Walt Disney is a strong investment it is important to analyze Walt Disney's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Walt Disney's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Walt Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Walt Disney to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Walt Stock refer to our How to Trade Walt Stock guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.