Trump Media Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

DJT Stock   11.27  0.00  0.00%   
Trump Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Trump Media's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Trump Media's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Trump Media Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Trump Media's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Using Trump Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trump Media Technology from the perspective of Trump Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Trump Media using Trump Media's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Trump using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Trump Media's stock price.

Trump Media Short Interest

An investor who is long Trump Media may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Trump Media and may potentially protect profits, hedge Trump Media with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
17.0119
Short Percent
0.0655
Short Ratio
0.65
Shares Short Prior Month
11.6 M
50 Day MA
12.8457

Trump Relative Strength Index

Trump Media Technology Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Trump Media's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Trump. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Trump can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Trump Media Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Trump Media's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Trump Media.

Trump Media Implied Volatility

    
  1.62  
Trump Media's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Trump Media Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Trump Media's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Trump Media stock will not fluctuate a lot when Trump Media's options are near their expiration.

Trump Media after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trump Media to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Trump contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Trump Media Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.1% per day over the life of the 2026-03-27 option contract. With Trump Media trading at USD 11.27, that is roughly USD 0.0114 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Trump Media's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Trump Media Technology options at the current volatility level of 1.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-27 Trump Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Trump Media's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Trump Media's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Trump Media stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Trump Media's open interest, investors have to compare it to Trump Media's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Trump Media is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Trump. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Trump Media Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Trump price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trump using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trump charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Trump Media Technology has current Accumulation Distribution of 112287.0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Trump Media is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Trump Media Technology to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Trump Media trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Trump Media VolatilityBacktest Trump MediaInformation Ratio  

Trump Media Trading Date Momentum

On February 09 2026 Trump Media Technology was traded for  11.27  at the closing time. Highest Trump Media's price during the trading hours was 11.49  and the lowest price during the day was  11.04 . The net volume was 2.9 M. The overall trading history on the 9th of February did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 0.00% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Trump Media to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Trump Media

For every potential investor in Trump, whether a beginner or expert, Trump Media's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trump Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trump. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trump Media's price trends.

Trump Media Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trump Media stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trump Media could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trump Media by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Trump Media Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trump Media stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trump Media shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trump Media stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Trump Media Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Trump Media Risk Indicators

The analysis of Trump Media's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Trump Media's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trump stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Trump Media

The number of cover stories for Trump Media depends on current market conditions and Trump Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trump Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trump Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Trump Media Short Properties

Trump Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trump Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trump Media Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trump Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trump Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding169.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments776.8 M

Additional Tools for Trump Stock Analysis

When running Trump Media's price analysis, check to measure Trump Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trump Media is operating at the current time. Most of Trump Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trump Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trump Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trump Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.