Dicks Sporting Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

DKS Stock  USD 201.63  7.45  3.84%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dicks Sporting Goods on the next trading day is expected to be 200.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 233.38. Dicks Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
At this time, Dicks Sporting's Inventory Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is likely to gain to 7.69 in 2024, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 72.05 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to gain to about 107.2 M in 2024. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 1.3 B in 2024.

Open Interest Against 2024-11-22 Dicks Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dicks Sporting's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dicks Sporting's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dicks Sporting stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dicks Sporting's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dicks Sporting's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dicks Sporting is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dicks. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Dicks Sporting's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2001-01-31
Previous Quarter
1.6 B
Current Value
1.7 B
Quarterly Volatility
712.8 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Dicks Sporting is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Dicks Sporting Goods value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Dicks Sporting Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dicks Sporting Goods on the next trading day is expected to be 200.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.76, mean absolute percentage error of 21.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 233.38.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dicks Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dicks Sporting's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dicks Sporting Stock Forecast Pattern

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Dicks Sporting Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dicks Sporting's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dicks Sporting's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 199.14 and 202.74, respectively. We have considered Dicks Sporting's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
201.63
199.14
Downside
200.94
Expected Value
202.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dicks Sporting stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dicks Sporting stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria123.0146
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.7643
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.018
SAESum of the absolute errors233.3841
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Dicks Sporting Goods. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Dicks Sporting. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Dicks Sporting

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dicks Sporting Goods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
198.45200.24202.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
138.55140.34221.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
194.07198.59203.12
Details
29 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
121.49133.50148.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dicks Sporting

For every potential investor in Dicks, whether a beginner or expert, Dicks Sporting's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dicks Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dicks. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dicks Sporting's price trends.

Dicks Sporting Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dicks Sporting stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dicks Sporting could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dicks Sporting by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dicks Sporting Goods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dicks Sporting's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dicks Sporting's current price.

Dicks Sporting Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dicks Sporting stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dicks Sporting shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dicks Sporting stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dicks Sporting Goods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dicks Sporting Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dicks Sporting's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dicks Sporting's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dicks stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Dicks Stock Analysis

When running Dicks Sporting's price analysis, check to measure Dicks Sporting's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dicks Sporting is operating at the current time. Most of Dicks Sporting's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dicks Sporting's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dicks Sporting's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dicks Sporting to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.