Packaging Corp Of Stock Price Prediction
| PKG Stock | USD 245.30 1.20 0.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.3 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.46 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.095 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.2738 | Wall Street Target Price 214.265 |
Using Packaging Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Packaging Corp of from the perspective of Packaging Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Packaging Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Packaging Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Packaging. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Packaging can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Packaging Corp of. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Packaging Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Packaging Corp.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Packaging Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Packaging because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Packaging Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 245.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Packaging |
Packaging Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Packaging Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Packaging Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Packaging Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Packaging Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Packaging Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Packaging Corp's historical news coverage. Packaging Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 244.13 and 246.47, respectively. We have considered Packaging Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Packaging Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Packaging Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Packaging Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Packaging Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Packaging Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Packaging Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.17 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
245.30 | 245.30 | 0.00 |
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Packaging Corp Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Packaging Corp is traded for 245.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Packaging is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Packaging Corp is about 219.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 245.14. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.57. Packaging Corp last dividend was issued on the 16th of September 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Packaging Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Packaging Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Packaging Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Packaging Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Packaging Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Packaging Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | (0.45) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.49 | (1.94) | 6.42 | |
| WRK | WestRock Co | (0.41) | 8 per month | 1.26 | (0.01) | 2.75 | (2.33) | 9.53 | |
| OI | O I Glass | (0.13) | 11 per month | 2.27 | 0 | 5.29 | (3.81) | 13.61 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 0.66 | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.04 | 1.74 | (1.57) | 5.37 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | (3.01) | 7 per month | 1.48 | (0.02) | 2.26 | (2.43) | 8.28 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | (0.65) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.92 | (2.19) | 8.89 | |
| BALL | Ball Corporation | (0.34) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.52 | (1.74) | 9.98 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | (0.57) | 10 per month | 0.97 | (0.07) | 1.42 | (1.80) | 6.39 | |
| AMCR | Amcor PLC | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 1.58 | (1.28) | 10.29 | |
| GPK | Graphic Packaging Holding | (0.42) | 9 per month | 1.68 | (0.06) | 2.14 | (2.04) | 8.57 |
Packaging Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Packaging price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Packaging using various technical indicators. When you analyze Packaging charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Packaging Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Packaging Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Packaging Corp of, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Packaging Corp based on analysis of Packaging Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Packaging Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Packaging Corp's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0296 | 0.0356 | 0.0305 | 0.0354 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.66 | 1.39 | 1.88 | 1.0 |
Story Coverage note for Packaging Corp
The number of cover stories for Packaging Corp depends on current market conditions and Packaging Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Packaging Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Packaging Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Packaging Corp Short Properties
Packaging Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Packaging Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Packaging Corp of often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Packaging Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Packaging Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 89.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Complementary Tools for Packaging Stock analysis
When running Packaging Corp's price analysis, check to measure Packaging Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Packaging Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Packaging Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Packaging Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Packaging Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Packaging Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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