Dynagas LNG Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

DLNG Stock  USD 3.89  0.08  2.10%   
Dynagas Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Dynagas LNG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the value of relative strength index of Dynagas LNG's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dynagas LNG's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dynagas LNG and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dynagas LNG's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dynagas LNG Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dynagas LNG's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.248
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.16
Wall Street Target Price
5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Dynagas LNG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dynagas LNG Partners from the perspective of Dynagas LNG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dynagas LNG using Dynagas LNG's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dynagas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dynagas LNG's stock price.

Dynagas LNG Implied Volatility

    
  0.9  
Dynagas LNG's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dynagas LNG Partners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dynagas LNG's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dynagas LNG stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dynagas LNG's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dynagas LNG Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 3.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.83.

Dynagas LNG after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dynagas LNG to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Dynagas Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dynagas LNG's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dynagas LNG's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dynagas LNG stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dynagas LNG's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dynagas LNG's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dynagas LNG is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dynagas. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Dynagas LNG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dynagas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dynagas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dynagas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Dynagas LNG simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Dynagas LNG Partners are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Dynagas LNG Partners prices get older.

Dynagas LNG Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dynagas LNG Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 3.89 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.83.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dynagas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dynagas LNG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dynagas LNG Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dynagas LNG  Dynagas LNG Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Dynagas LNG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dynagas LNG's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dynagas LNG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.16 and 5.62, respectively. We have considered Dynagas LNG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.89
3.89
Expected Value
5.62
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dynagas LNG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dynagas LNG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.8027
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0062
MADMean absolute deviation0.0472
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0124
SAESum of the absolute errors2.83
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Dynagas LNG Partners forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Dynagas LNG observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Dynagas LNG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dynagas LNG Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.163.895.62
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.503.234.96
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.555.005.55
Details

Dynagas LNG After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dynagas LNG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dynagas LNG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dynagas LNG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dynagas LNG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dynagas LNG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dynagas LNG's historical news coverage. Dynagas LNG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.16 and 5.62, respectively. We have considered Dynagas LNG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.89
3.89
After-hype Price
5.62
Upside
Dynagas LNG is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dynagas LNG Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dynagas LNG Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dynagas LNG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dynagas LNG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dynagas LNG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
1.73
  0.03 
 0.00  
26 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 26 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.89
3.89
0.00 
1,018  
Notes

Dynagas LNG Hype Timeline

Dynagas LNG Partners is currently traded for 3.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Dynagas is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dynagas LNG is about 28833.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.89. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dynagas LNG Partners last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 26 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dynagas LNG to cross-verify your projections.

Dynagas LNG Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dynagas LNG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dynagas LNG's future price movements. Getting to know how Dynagas LNG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dynagas LNG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMTXAemetis(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.04) 10.34 (8.20) 28.25 
ANNAAleAnna Class A 0.15 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.00 (4.88) 20.01 
GTEGran Tierra Energy 0.36 11 per month 4.12  0.16  8.24 (5.52) 23.83 
SAFXXCF Global Class(0.01)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 13.33 (16.67) 150.95 
MMLPMartin Midstream Partners 0.01 6 per month 2.77  0.0002  6.23 (4.27) 19.56 
KGEIKolibri Global Energy 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.91 (4.30) 11.55 
SPWRComplete Solaria 0.01 9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 6.96 (6.98) 16.38 
FTCIFTC Solar(0.56)9 per month 4.77  0.06  9.96 (7.79) 58.89 
NCSMNCS Multistage Holdings(0.39)7 per month 2.54 (0.0006) 5.26 (4.60) 20.91 
BOOMDmc Global 0.48 6 per month 4.08  0  6.18 (4.12) 18.62 

Other Forecasting Options for Dynagas LNG

For every potential investor in Dynagas, whether a beginner or expert, Dynagas LNG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dynagas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dynagas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dynagas LNG's price trends.

Dynagas LNG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dynagas LNG stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dynagas LNG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dynagas LNG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dynagas LNG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dynagas LNG stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dynagas LNG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dynagas LNG stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dynagas LNG Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dynagas LNG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dynagas LNG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dynagas LNG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dynagas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Dynagas LNG

The number of cover stories for Dynagas LNG depends on current market conditions and Dynagas LNG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dynagas LNG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dynagas LNG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Dynagas LNG Short Properties

Dynagas LNG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dynagas LNG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dynagas LNG Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dynagas LNG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dynagas LNG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding36.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments68.2 M
When determining whether Dynagas LNG Partners is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dynagas LNG's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dynagas LNG's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dynagas Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dynagas LNG to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Can Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation industry sustain growth momentum? Does Dynagas have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dynagas LNG. Projected growth potential of Dynagas fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Dynagas LNG demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.248
Dividend Share
0.197
Earnings Share
1.29
Revenue Per Share
4.328
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Understanding Dynagas LNG Partners requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Dynagas's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Dynagas LNG's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Dynagas LNG's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Dynagas LNG's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Dynagas LNG should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Dynagas LNG's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.