Dollar Tree Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| DLTR Stock | USD 119.69 2.47 2.11% |
Dollar Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Dollar Tree's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Dollar Tree's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Dollar Tree fundamentals over time.
As of today, the value of RSI of Dollar Tree's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dollar Tree, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.106 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.7331 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.7096 | Wall Street Target Price 122.0435 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.0823 |
Using Dollar Tree hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dollar Tree from the perspective of Dollar Tree response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dollar Tree using Dollar Tree's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dollar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dollar Tree's stock price.
Dollar Tree Short Interest
An investor who is long Dollar Tree may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Dollar Tree and may potentially protect profits, hedge Dollar Tree with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 104.9418 | Short Percent 0.0949 | Short Ratio 5.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 14.4 M | 50 Day MA 122.9636 |
Dollar Relative Strength Index
Dollar Tree Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dollar Tree's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dollar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dollar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dollar Tree. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dollar Tree's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dollar Tree.
Dollar Tree Implied Volatility | 0.5 |
Dollar Tree's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dollar Tree stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dollar Tree's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dollar Tree stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dollar Tree's options are near their expiration.
Dollar Tree after-hype prediction price | USD 119.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dollar Tree to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dollar contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dollar Tree will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0313% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Dollar Tree trading at USD 119.69, that is roughly USD 0.0374 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dollar Tree's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dollar Tree options at the current volatility level of 0.5%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Dollar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dollar Tree's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dollar Tree's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dollar Tree stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dollar Tree's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dollar Tree's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dollar Tree is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dollar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Dollar Tree Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dollar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dollar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dollar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 51425.18 | 153122.0 |
| Check Dollar Tree Volatility | Backtest Dollar Tree | Information Ratio |
Dollar Tree Trading Date Momentum
| On February 03 2026 Dollar Tree was traded for 119.69 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 121.29 and the lowest listed price was 116.05 . The trading volume for the day was 3.5 M. The trading history from February 3, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.91% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Dollar Tree to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Dollar Tree
For every potential investor in Dollar, whether a beginner or expert, Dollar Tree's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dollar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dollar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dollar Tree's price trends.Dollar Tree Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dollar Tree stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dollar Tree could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dollar Tree by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dollar Tree Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dollar Tree stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dollar Tree shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dollar Tree stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dollar Tree entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 153122.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4714 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 118.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 119.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.25 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.47 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.24 |
Dollar Tree Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dollar Tree's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dollar Tree's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dollar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Variance | 5.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dollar Tree
The number of cover stories for Dollar Tree depends on current market conditions and Dollar Tree's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dollar Tree is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dollar Tree's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dollar Tree Short Properties
Dollar Tree's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dollar Tree's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dollar Tree often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dollar Tree's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dollar Tree's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 215.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Additional Tools for Dollar Stock Analysis
When running Dollar Tree's price analysis, check to measure Dollar Tree's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dollar Tree is operating at the current time. Most of Dollar Tree's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dollar Tree's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dollar Tree's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dollar Tree to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.