Dow Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

DOW Stock  USD 28.25  0.08  0.28%   
Dow Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Dow's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dow's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dow and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dow's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dow Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dow's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.73)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.43)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.03)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.28)
Wall Street Target Price
27.8125
Using Dow hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dow Inc from the perspective of Dow response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dow using Dow's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dow using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dow's stock price.

Dow Short Interest

An investor who is long Dow may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Dow and may potentially protect profits, hedge Dow with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
25.5609
Short Percent
0.0529
Short Ratio
3.03
Shares Short Prior Month
34.6 M
50 Day MA
24.019

Dow Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Dow's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dow. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dow can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dow Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

Dow Implied Volatility

    
  0.45  
Dow's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dow Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dow's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dow stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dow's options are near their expiration.

Dow after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 28.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dow to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dow contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dow Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0281% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Dow trading at USD 28.25, that is roughly USD 0.007945 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dow's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dow Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.45%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Dow Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dow's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dow's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dow stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dow's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dow's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dow is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dow. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Dow Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dow price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dow using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dow charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Dow Inc has current Accumulation Distribution of 149094.0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Dow is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Dow Inc to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Dow trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Dow VolatilityBacktest DowInformation Ratio  

Dow Trading Date Momentum

On January 23 2026 Dow Inc was traded for  28.25  at the closing time. Highest Dow's price during the trading hours was 28.61  and the lowest price during the day was  28.13 . The net volume was 8.9 M. The overall trading history on the 23rd of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.85% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Dow to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Dow

For every potential investor in Dow, whether a beginner or expert, Dow's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dow Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dow. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dow's price trends.

Dow Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dow stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dow could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dow by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dow Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dow stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dow shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dow stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dow Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dow Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dow's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dow's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dow stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Dow

The number of cover stories for Dow depends on current market conditions and Dow's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dow is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dow's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Dow Short Properties

Dow's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dow's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dow Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dow's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dow's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding705.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.6 B

Additional Tools for Dow Stock Analysis

When running Dow's price analysis, check to measure Dow's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dow is operating at the current time. Most of Dow's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dow's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dow's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dow to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.