DouYu International Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| DOYU Stock | USD 6.57 0.02 0.31% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of DouYu International Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 6.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.22. DouYu Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of DouYu International's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.413 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.06) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.6194 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3912 | Wall Street Target Price 7.6822 |
Using DouYu International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DouYu International Holdings from the perspective of DouYu International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of DouYu International Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 6.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.22. DouYu International after-hype prediction price | USD 6.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DouYu International to cross-verify your projections. DouYu International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DouYu price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DouYu using various technical indicators. When you analyze DouYu charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DouYu International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of DouYu International Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 6.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DouYu Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DouYu International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DouYu International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DouYu International | DouYu International Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
DouYu International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DouYu International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DouYu International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.70 and 8.96, respectively. We have considered DouYu International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DouYu International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DouYu International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4459 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1348 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0197 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.2231 |
Predictive Modules for DouYu International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DouYu International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DouYu International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DouYu International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DouYu International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DouYu International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DouYu International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DouYu International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DouYu International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DouYu International's historical news coverage. DouYu International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.42 and 8.68, respectively. We have considered DouYu International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DouYu International is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DouYu International is based on 3 months time horizon.
DouYu International Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DouYu International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DouYu International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DouYu International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.13 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.57 | 6.55 | 0.30 |
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DouYu International Hype Timeline
DouYu International is currently traded for 6.57. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. DouYu is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on DouYu International is about 728.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.59. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. DouYu International has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 401.89. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.95. The firm last dividend was issued on the 21st of February 2025. DouYu International had 1:10 split on the 28th of March 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DouYu International to cross-verify your projections.DouYu International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DouYu International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DouYu International's future price movements. Getting to know how DouYu International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DouYu International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YELP | Yelp Inc | (0.57) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.45 | (3.53) | 12.51 | |
| NN | Nextnav Acquisition Corp | (0.25) | 8 per month | 2.86 | 0.11 | 6.53 | (5.45) | 14.69 | |
| IAC | IAC Inc | (0.40) | 11 per month | 1.40 | 0.12 | 2.49 | (2.35) | 6.38 | |
| SPHR | Sphere Entertainment Co | 3.75 | 11 per month | 1.26 | 0.25 | 4.94 | (2.63) | 9.49 | |
| CCOI | Cogent Communications Group | 0.34 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.76 | (9.80) | 37.60 | |
| GIBO | Global IBO Group | 0.04 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 9.44 | (7.66) | 28.39 | |
| IRDM | Iridium Communications | 0.24 | 8 per month | 2.46 | 0.07 | 6.16 | (4.47) | 14.57 | |
| MSGE | Madison Square Garden | (0.57) | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.22 | 3.87 | (2.04) | 9.61 | |
| WLY | John Wiley Sons | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.97 | (4.17) | 12.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for DouYu International
For every potential investor in DouYu, whether a beginner or expert, DouYu International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DouYu Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DouYu. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DouYu International's price trends.DouYu International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DouYu International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DouYu International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DouYu International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DouYu International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DouYu International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DouYu International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DouYu International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DouYu International Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DouYu International Risk Indicators
The analysis of DouYu International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DouYu International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting douyu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DouYu International
The number of cover stories for DouYu International depends on current market conditions and DouYu International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DouYu International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DouYu International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DouYu International Short Properties
DouYu International's future price predictability will typically decrease when DouYu International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DouYu International Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DouYu International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DouYu International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 308.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.1 B |
Additional Tools for DouYu Stock Analysis
When running DouYu International's price analysis, check to measure DouYu International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DouYu International is operating at the current time. Most of DouYu International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DouYu International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DouYu International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DouYu International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.