Diamondrock Hospitality Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| DRH Stock | USD 10.02 0.01 0.1% |
Diamondrock Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Diamondrock Hospitality's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Diamondrock Hospitality's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Diamondrock Hospitality hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diamondrock Hospitality from the perspective of Diamondrock Hospitality response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diamondrock Hospitality on the next trading day is expected to be 10.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.01. Diamondrock Hospitality after-hype prediction price | USD 10.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Diamondrock | Build AI portfolio with Diamondrock Stock |
Diamondrock Hospitality Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Diamondrock price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diamondrock using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diamondrock charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Diamondrock Hospitality Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diamondrock Hospitality on the next trading day is expected to be 10.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diamondrock Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diamondrock Hospitality's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Diamondrock Hospitality Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Diamondrock Hospitality | Diamondrock Hospitality Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Diamondrock Hospitality Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Diamondrock Hospitality's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diamondrock Hospitality's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.35 and 11.66, respectively. We have considered Diamondrock Hospitality's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diamondrock Hospitality stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diamondrock Hospitality stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0234 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1188 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.013 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.012 |
Predictive Modules for Diamondrock Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diamondrock Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Diamondrock Hospitality After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Diamondrock Hospitality at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diamondrock Hospitality or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diamondrock Hospitality, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Diamondrock Hospitality Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Diamondrock Hospitality's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diamondrock Hospitality's historical news coverage. Diamondrock Hospitality's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.42 and 11.74, respectively. We have considered Diamondrock Hospitality's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Diamondrock Hospitality is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diamondrock Hospitality is based on 3 months time horizon.
Diamondrock Hospitality Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diamondrock Hospitality is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diamondrock Hospitality backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diamondrock Hospitality, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.66 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.02 | 10.08 | 0.50 |
|
Diamondrock Hospitality Hype Timeline
On the 11th of February 2026 Diamondrock Hospitality is traded for 10.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Diamondrock is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 10.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Diamondrock Hospitality is about 4268.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.03. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.13 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 48.25 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 309.86 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diamondrock Hospitality to cross-verify your projections.Diamondrock Hospitality Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Diamondrock Hospitality's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diamondrock Hospitality's future price movements. Getting to know how Diamondrock Hospitality's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diamondrock Hospitality may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHO | Sunstone Hotel Investors | 0.02 | 8 per month | 1.62 | (0.05) | 2.67 | (2.77) | 8.32 | |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels Resorts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | 0.1 | 3.01 | (2.11) | 7.10 | |
| LTC | LTC Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.86 | 0.07 | 1.99 | (1.62) | 4.34 | |
| DX | Dynex Capital | 0.18 | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.02 | 1.89 | (1.07) | 7.50 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.83 | 0.11 | 2.02 | (1.59) | 5.27 | |
| PEB | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.30 | 0.08 | 4.12 | (2.35) | 8.43 | |
| GTY | Getty Realty | 0.15 | 5 per month | 0.73 | 0.13 | 2.06 | (1.43) | 4.47 | |
| IIPR | Innovative Industrial Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.09 | (3.52) | 14.66 | |
| GNL | Global Net Lease | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.36 | 0.25 | 2.49 | (1.16) | 4.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for Diamondrock Hospitality
For every potential investor in Diamondrock, whether a beginner or expert, Diamondrock Hospitality's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diamondrock Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diamondrock. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diamondrock Hospitality's price trends.Diamondrock Hospitality Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diamondrock Hospitality stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diamondrock Hospitality could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diamondrock Hospitality by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Diamondrock Hospitality Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diamondrock Hospitality stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diamondrock Hospitality shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diamondrock Hospitality stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diamondrock Hospitality entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 51505.7 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0476 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.05 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 |
Diamondrock Hospitality Risk Indicators
The analysis of Diamondrock Hospitality's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diamondrock Hospitality's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diamondrock stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Diamondrock Hospitality
The number of cover stories for Diamondrock Hospitality depends on current market conditions and Diamondrock Hospitality's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diamondrock Hospitality is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diamondrock Hospitality's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Diamondrock Hospitality Short Properties
Diamondrock Hospitality's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diamondrock Hospitality's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diamondrock Hospitality often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diamondrock Hospitality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diamondrock Hospitality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 211.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 81.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diamondrock Hospitality to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Diamondrock Stock please use our How to Invest in Diamondrock Hospitality guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is there potential for Hotel & Resort REITs market expansion? Will Diamondrock introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diamondrock Hospitality. Projected growth potential of Diamondrock fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Diamondrock Hospitality listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Understanding Diamondrock Hospitality requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Diamondrock's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Diamondrock Hospitality's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Diamondrock Hospitality's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Diamondrock Hospitality's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Diamondrock Hospitality should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Diamondrock Hospitality's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.