DTE Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DTE Stock | USD 136.14 0.44 0.32% |
DTE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast DTE Energy stock prices and determine the direction of DTE Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of DTE Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of DTE Energy's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.6546 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.2379 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.729 | Wall Street Target Price 147.3462 |
Using DTE Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DTE Energy from the perspective of DTE Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DTE Energy using DTE Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DTE using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DTE Energy's stock price.
DTE Energy Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in DTE Energy's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards DTE. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of DTE Energy stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 135.6989 | Short Percent 0.0199 | Short Ratio 2.35 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.6 M | 50 Day MA 132.1704 |
DTE Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DTE Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 136.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.62.DTE Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to DTE Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DTE. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DTE can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DTE Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of DTE Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about DTE Energy.
DTE Energy Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
DTE Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DTE Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DTE Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DTE Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when DTE Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DTE Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 136.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.62. DTE Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 136.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DTE Energy to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DTE contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that DTE Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With DTE Energy trading at USD 136.14, that is roughly USD 0.0357 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating DTE Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring DTE Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 DTE Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast DTE Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in DTE Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for DTE Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current DTE Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to DTE Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of DTE Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in DTE. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
DTE Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DTE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DTE using various technical indicators. When you analyze DTE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
DTE Energy Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DTE Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 136.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94, mean absolute percentage error of 1.53, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DTE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DTE Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DTE Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DTE Energy | DTE Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
DTE Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DTE Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DTE Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 135.23 and 137.05, respectively. We have considered DTE Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DTE Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DTE Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.5369 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0102 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9446 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 57.62 |
Predictive Modules for DTE Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DTE Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DTE Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DTE Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DTE Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DTE Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DTE Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DTE Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DTE Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DTE Energy's historical news coverage. DTE Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 135.23 and 137.09, respectively. We have considered DTE Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DTE Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DTE Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
DTE Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DTE Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DTE Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DTE Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.91 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 13 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
136.14 | 136.16 | 0.01 |
|
DTE Energy Hype Timeline
On the 6th of February DTE Energy is traded for 136.14. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. DTE is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 136.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 56.17%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of related hype on DTE Energy is about 433.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 136.14. The company reported the last year's revenue of 12.46 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.4 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4.63 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DTE Energy to cross-verify your projections.DTE Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DTE Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DTE Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how DTE Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DTE Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AEE | Ameren Corp | 1.11 | 9 per month | 0.96 | 0.01 | 1.23 | (1.45) | 5.74 | |
| FE | FirstEnergy | (0.21) | 11 per month | 0.88 | 0.01 | 1.35 | (1.30) | 4.05 | |
| ES | Eversource Energy | (0.82) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.75 | (1.87) | 14.53 | |
| FTS | Fortis Inc | (0.04) | 9 per month | 0.49 | 0.13 | 1.38 | (1.16) | 2.88 | |
| PPL | PPL Corporation | 0.86 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.57 | (1.61) | 4.62 | |
| ATO | Atmos Energy | (3.00) | 11 per month | 1.19 | (0.04) | 1.41 | (1.76) | 4.31 | |
| EBR-B | Centrais Eltricas Brasileiras | (0.1) | 4 per month | 4.47 | 0.1 | 5.25 | (3.48) | 31.49 | |
| SO | Southern Company | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.10 | (1.81) | 4.07 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | 0.30 | 9 per month | 1.08 | (0.05) | 1.32 | (1.44) | 5.00 | |
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | (0.02) | 5 per month | 4.49 | 0.1 | 2.80 | (3.23) | 32.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for DTE Energy
For every potential investor in DTE, whether a beginner or expert, DTE Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DTE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DTE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DTE Energy's price trends.DTE Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DTE Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DTE Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DTE Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DTE Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DTE Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DTE Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DTE Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DTE Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 47212.9 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1705 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 136.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 136.41 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.44 |
DTE Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of DTE Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DTE Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dte stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7125 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9454 | |||
| Variance | 0.8938 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.61) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DTE Energy
The number of cover stories for DTE Energy depends on current market conditions and DTE Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DTE Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DTE Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
DTE Energy Short Properties
DTE Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when DTE Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DTE Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DTE Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DTE Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 207 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DTE Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade DTE Stock refer to our How to Trade DTE Stock guide.You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Will Multi-Utilities sector continue expanding? Could DTE diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DTE Energy. Projected growth potential of DTE fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every DTE Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.12) | Dividend Share 4.36 | Earnings Share 6.68 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.214 |
The market value of DTE Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DTE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DTE Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DTE Energy's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because DTE Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DTE Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between DTE Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding DTE Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, DTE Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.