Empire Metals Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

EEE Stock   6.05  0.05  0.82%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Empire Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 6.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.44. Empire Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Empire Metals stock prices and determine the direction of Empire Metals Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Empire Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Empire Metals' Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 335.3 K, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is forecasted to decline to about 4.7 M.
A four-period moving average forecast model for Empire Metals Limited is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Empire Metals 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Empire Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 6.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Empire Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Empire Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Empire Metals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Empire Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Empire Metals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Empire Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.40 and 8.75, respectively. We have considered Empire Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.05
6.08
Expected Value
8.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Empire Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Empire Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.3153
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0463
MADMean absolute deviation0.2007
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0285
SAESum of the absolute errors11.4375
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Empire Metals. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Empire Metals Limited and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Empire Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empire Metals Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.566.238.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.915.588.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Empire Metals

For every potential investor in Empire, whether a beginner or expert, Empire Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Empire Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Empire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Empire Metals' price trends.

Empire Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Empire Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Empire Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Empire Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Empire Metals Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Empire Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Empire Metals' current price.

Empire Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Empire Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Empire Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Empire Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Empire Metals Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Empire Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Empire Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Empire Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting empire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Empire Stock

Empire Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Empire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Empire with respect to the benefits of owning Empire Metals security.