Empire Metals Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

EEE Stock   45.50  6.50  16.67%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Empire Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 33.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.68. Empire Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Empire Metals stock prices and determine the direction of Empire Metals Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Empire Metals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength momentum indicator of Empire Metals' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Empire Metals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Empire Metals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Empire Metals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Empire Metals Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Empire Metals' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.32
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(1.00)
Using Empire Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Empire Metals Limited from the perspective of Empire Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Empire Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 33.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.68.

Empire Metals after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 38.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Empire Metals to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Empire Metals' Total Current Liabilities is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Accounts Payable is expected to grow to about 131 K, whereas Total Stockholder Equity is forecasted to decline to about 5 M.

Empire Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Empire price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Empire using various technical indicators. When you analyze Empire charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Empire Metals price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Empire Metals Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Empire Metals Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 33.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.90, mean absolute percentage error of 26.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 237.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Empire Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Empire Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Empire Metals Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Empire MetalsEmpire Metals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Empire Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Empire Metals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Empire Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.49 and 40.88, respectively. We have considered Empire Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
45.50
33.68
Expected Value
40.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Empire Metals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Empire Metals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.3829
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation3.8963
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1034
SAESum of the absolute errors237.6771
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Empire Metals Limited historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Empire Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Empire Metals Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
31.6838.6145.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.8934.8241.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.5537.8240.09
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Empire Metals

For every potential investor in Empire, whether a beginner or expert, Empire Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Empire Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Empire. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Empire Metals' price trends.

Empire Metals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Empire Metals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Empire Metals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Empire Metals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Empire Metals Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Empire Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Empire Metals' current price.

Empire Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Empire Metals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Empire Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Empire Metals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Empire Metals Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Empire Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Empire Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Empire Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting empire stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Empire Stock

Empire Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Empire Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Empire with respect to the benefits of owning Empire Metals security.