Encompass Health Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| EHC Stock | USD 105.39 5.83 5.86% |
Encompass Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Encompass Health stock prices and determine the direction of Encompass Health Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Encompass Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Encompass Health's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.167 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.4985 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.8369 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.4248 | Wall Street Target Price 142.4545 |
Using Encompass Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Encompass Health Corp from the perspective of Encompass Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Encompass Health using Encompass Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Encompass using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Encompass Health's stock price.
Encompass Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Encompass Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Encompass. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Encompass Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 115.5508 | Short Percent 0.0389 | Short Ratio 3.15 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 104.984 |
Encompass Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Encompass Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 96.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.75.Encompass Health Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Encompass Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Encompass. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Encompass can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Encompass Health Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Encompass Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Encompass Health.
Encompass Health Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
Encompass Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Encompass Health Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Encompass Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Encompass Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Encompass Health's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Encompass Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 96.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.75. Encompass Health after-hype prediction price | USD 105.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Encompass | Build AI portfolio with Encompass Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Encompass contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Encompass Health Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Encompass Health trading at USD 105.39, that is roughly USD 0.0283 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Encompass Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Encompass Health Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Encompass Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Encompass Health's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Encompass Health's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Encompass Health stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Encompass Health's open interest, investors have to compare it to Encompass Health's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Encompass Health is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Encompass. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Encompass Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Encompass price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Encompass using various technical indicators. When you analyze Encompass charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Encompass Health Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 10th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Encompass Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 96.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.16, mean absolute percentage error of 7.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 131.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Encompass Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Encompass Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Encompass Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Encompass Health | Encompass Health Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Encompass Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Encompass Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Encompass Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 94.59 and 97.55, respectively. We have considered Encompass Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Encompass Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Encompass Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.1201 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1599 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0206 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 131.7516 |
Predictive Modules for Encompass Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Encompass Health Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Encompass Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Encompass Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Encompass Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Encompass Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Encompass Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Encompass Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Encompass Health's historical news coverage. Encompass Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 104.19 and 107.13, respectively. We have considered Encompass Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Encompass Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Encompass Health Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Encompass Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Encompass Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Encompass Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Encompass Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.48 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
105.39 | 105.66 | 0.26 |
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Encompass Health Hype Timeline
On the 9th of February Encompass Health Corp is traded for 105.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Encompass is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 105.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 71.5%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Encompass Health is about 235.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 105.30. The company reported the last year's revenue of 5.94 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 759.1 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.47 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Encompass Health to cross-verify your projections.Encompass Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Encompass Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Encompass Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Encompass Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Encompass Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SOLV | Solventum Corp | 0.31 | 10 per month | 1.56 | 0.07 | 2.91 | (2.08) | 14.51 | |
| ENSG | The Ensign Group | 1.02 | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.02 | 3.15 | (1.62) | 6.93 | |
| UHS | Universal Health Services | 2.54 | 10 per month | 1.74 | (0.05) | 2.54 | (2.87) | 8.92 | |
| ELAN | Elanco Animal Health | 0.08 | 10 per month | 1.85 | 0.04 | 3.66 | (4.00) | 10.56 | |
| RDY | Dr Reddys Laboratories | 0.38 | 9 per month | 1.12 | (0.01) | 1.72 | (1.93) | 6.08 | |
| DVA | DaVita HealthCare Partners | (3.94) | 3 per month | 1.61 | 0.07 | 4.25 | (3.23) | 16.13 | |
| ICLR | ICON PLC | (1.86) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.70 | (3.63) | 16.93 | |
| FMS | Fresenius Medical Care | 0.21 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.04 | (3.83) | 10.14 | |
| CHE | Chemed Corp | (3.94) | 8 per month | 1.15 | (0.04) | 2.25 | (1.94) | 5.87 | |
| ALGN | Align Technology | (1.09) | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.17 | 4.70 | (2.54) | 11.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Encompass Health
For every potential investor in Encompass, whether a beginner or expert, Encompass Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Encompass Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Encompass. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Encompass Health's price trends.Encompass Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Encompass Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Encompass Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Encompass Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Encompass Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Encompass Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Encompass Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Encompass Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Encompass Health Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0983 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5128 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.06 | |||
| Day Median Price | 110.03 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 108.48 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 11.37 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.72) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 5.83 |
Encompass Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of Encompass Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Encompass Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting encompass stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9947 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.08 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Encompass Health
The number of cover stories for Encompass Health depends on current market conditions and Encompass Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Encompass Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Encompass Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Encompass Health Short Properties
Encompass Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Encompass Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Encompass Health Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Encompass Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encompass Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 102.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Encompass Health to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Will Health Care Providers & Services sector continue expanding? Could Encompass diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Encompass Health. Projected growth potential of Encompass fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Encompass Health data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.167 | Dividend Share 0.7 | Earnings Share 5.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.094 |
The market value of Encompass Health Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Encompass that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Encompass Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Encompass Health's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Encompass Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Encompass Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Encompass Health's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Encompass Health should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Encompass Health's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.