Embraer SA Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| EMBJ Stock | 70.14 3.13 4.27% |
Embraer Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Embraer SA's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Embraer SA's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Embraer SA fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Embraer SA's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9642 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8819 | Wall Street Target Price 74.4615 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.158 |
Using Embraer SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Embraer SA from the perspective of Embraer SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Embraer SA using Embraer SA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Embraer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Embraer SA's stock price.
Embraer SA Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Embraer SA's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Embraer. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Embraer SA stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 56.3036 | Short Percent 0.0204 | Short Ratio 4.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.8 M | 50 Day MA 65.0256 |
Embraer Relative Strength Index
Embraer SA Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Embraer SA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Embraer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Embraer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Embraer SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Embraer SA's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Embraer SA.
Embraer SA Implied Volatility | 0.51 |
Embraer SA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Embraer SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Embraer SA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Embraer SA stock will not fluctuate a lot when Embraer SA's options are near their expiration.
Embraer SA after-hype prediction price | USD 69.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Embraer SA to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Embraer contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Embraer SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0319% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Embraer SA trading at USD 70.14, that is roughly USD 0.0224 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Embraer SA's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Embraer SA options at the current volatility level of 0.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Embraer Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Embraer SA's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Embraer SA's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Embraer SA stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Embraer SA's open interest, investors have to compare it to Embraer SA's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Embraer SA is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Embraer. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Embraer SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Embraer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Embraer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Embraer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (1.23) | (2.24) |
| Check Embraer SA Volatility | Backtest Embraer SA | Information Ratio |
Embraer SA Trading Date Momentum
| On February 04 2026 Embraer SA was traded for 70.14 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 72.93 and the lowest listed price was 68.71 . The trading volume for the day was 1.4 M. The trading history from February 4, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 3.86% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Embraer SA to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Embraer SA
For every potential investor in Embraer, whether a beginner or expert, Embraer SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Embraer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Embraer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Embraer SA's price trends.Embraer SA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Embraer SA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Embraer SA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Embraer SA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Embraer SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Embraer SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Embraer SA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Embraer SA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Embraer SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 78519.54 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.74) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 70.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 70.59 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.24) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.13) |
Embraer SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Embraer SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Embraer SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting embraer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.3 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Embraer SA
The number of cover stories for Embraer SA depends on current market conditions and Embraer SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Embraer SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Embraer SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Embraer SA Short Properties
Embraer SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Embraer SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Embraer SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Embraer SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Embraer SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 183.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Embraer SA to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Embraer Stock please use our How to buy in Embraer Stock guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
What growth prospects exist in Aerospace & Defense sector? Can Embraer capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Embraer SA. Projected growth potential of Embraer fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Embraer SA valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Dividend Share 0.07 | Earnings Share 1.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.158 |
Embraer SA's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Embraer's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Embraer SA's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Since Embraer SA's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Embraer SA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Embraer SA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Embraer SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.