Embraer Sa Stock Price Patterns
| EMBJ Stock | 71.53 1.74 2.37% |
Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9642 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.8819 | Wall Street Target Price 74.4615 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.158 |
Using Embraer SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Embraer SA from the perspective of Embraer SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Embraer SA using Embraer SA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Embraer using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Embraer SA's stock price.
Embraer SA Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Embraer SA's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Embraer. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Embraer SA stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 56.3036 | Short Percent 0.0204 | Short Ratio 4.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.8 M | 50 Day MA 65.0256 |
Embraer SA Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Embraer SA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Embraer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Embraer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Embraer SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Embraer SA's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Embraer SA.
Embraer SA Implied Volatility | 0.52 |
Embraer SA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Embraer SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Embraer SA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Embraer SA stock will not fluctuate a lot when Embraer SA's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Embraer SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Embraer because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Embraer SA after-hype prediction price | USD 71.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Embraer contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Embraer SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0325% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Embraer SA trading at USD 71.53, that is roughly USD 0.0232 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Embraer SA's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Embraer SA options at the current volatility level of 0.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Embraer SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Embraer SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Embraer SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Embraer SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Embraer SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Embraer SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Embraer SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Embraer SA's historical news coverage. Embraer SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.28 and 73.16, respectively. We have considered Embraer SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Embraer SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Embraer SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Embraer SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Embraer SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Embraer SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Embraer SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.94 | 0.31 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
71.53 | 71.22 | 0.43 |
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Embraer SA Hype Timeline
Embraer SA is currently traded for 71.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Embraer is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 71.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 132.88%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.43%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Embraer SA is about 1212.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.56. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Embraer SA was currently reported as 4.99. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of May 2026. Embraer SA had 571:500 split on the 1st of March 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Embraer SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Embraer SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Embraer SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Embraer SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Embraer SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Embraer SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | (5.59) | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.25 | 4.34 | (2.56) | 10.50 | |
| DRS | Leonardo DRS Common | (0.24) | 8 per month | 1.53 | 0.04 | 3.77 | (2.63) | 9.17 | |
| TXT | Textron | (0.72) | 7 per month | 1.55 | 0.07 | 2.26 | (1.64) | 11.43 | |
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | 11.48 | 12 per month | 1.79 | 0.06 | 4.50 | (3.27) | 10.98 | |
| KRMN | Karman Holdings | 2.22 | 12 per month | 3.51 | 0.10 | 8.60 | (5.87) | 16.85 | |
| STRL | Sterling Construction | (4.73) | 8 per month | 4.56 | (0.01) | 5.34 | (6.91) | 21.66 | |
| CAE | CAE Inc | 0.27 | 10 per month | 1.63 | 0.06 | 3.17 | (2.58) | 9.61 | |
| AYI | Acuity Brands | 0.68 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.46 | (2.66) | 16.54 | |
| CR | Crane Company | (2.61) | 9 per month | 2.46 | (0.03) | 2.36 | (2.32) | 15.15 | |
| STN | Stantec | 0.84 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.96 | (2.27) | 8.69 |
Embraer SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Embraer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Embraer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Embraer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Embraer SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Embraer SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Embraer SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Embraer SA based on analysis of Embraer SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Embraer SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Embraer SA's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004706 | 0.004471 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.21 | 1.24 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Embraer SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Embraer Stock please use our How to buy in Embraer Stock guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
What growth prospects exist in Aerospace & Defense sector? Can Embraer capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Embraer SA. Projected growth potential of Embraer fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each Embraer SA valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Dividend Share 0.07 | Earnings Share 1.72 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.158 |
Embraer SA's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Embraer's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Embraer SA's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Since Embraer SA's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Embraer SA's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Embraer SA should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Embraer SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.