Emerson Electric Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| EMR Stock | USD 148.42 0.75 0.51% |
Emerson Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Emerson Electric's share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Emerson Electric, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Emerson Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Emerson Electric from the perspective of Emerson Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Emerson Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 148.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.85. Emerson Electric after-hype prediction price | USD 148.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Emerson Electric to cross-verify your projections. Emerson Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Emerson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Emerson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Emerson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Emerson Electric Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Emerson Electric on the next trading day is expected to be 148.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.01, mean absolute percentage error of 6.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 118.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Emerson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Emerson Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Emerson Electric Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Emerson Electric | Emerson Electric Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Emerson Electric Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Emerson Electric's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Emerson Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 146.34 and 149.75, respectively. We have considered Emerson Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Emerson Electric stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Emerson Electric stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.3082 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2571 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0144 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0148 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 118.85 |
Predictive Modules for Emerson Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Emerson Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Emerson Electric After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Emerson Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Emerson Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Emerson Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Emerson Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Emerson Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Emerson Electric's historical news coverage. Emerson Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 146.71 and 150.13, respectively. We have considered Emerson Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Emerson Electric is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Emerson Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.
Emerson Electric Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Emerson Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Emerson Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Emerson Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.71 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
148.42 | 148.42 | 0.00 |
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Emerson Electric Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Emerson Electric is traded for 148.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.16. Emerson is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Emerson Electric is about 155.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 148.26. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Emerson Electric was currently reported as 36.04. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.31. Emerson Electric last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 12th of December 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Emerson Electric to cross-verify your projections.Emerson Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Emerson Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Emerson Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Emerson Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Emerson Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | (19.66) | 5 per month | 1.06 | 0.03 | 2.40 | (2.12) | 6.22 | |
| HWM | Howmet Aerospace | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.49 | 0.01 | 2.77 | (2.18) | 7.17 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | (0.01) | 1.84 | (2.00) | 15.08 | |
| WM | Waste Management | 8.67 | 16 per month | 1.22 | 0.04 | 2.06 | (1.57) | 4.49 | |
| PH | Parker Hannifin | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.14 | 2.41 | (1.57) | 9.94 | |
| CMI | Cummins | (19.66) | 2 per month | 1.10 | 0.23 | 2.83 | (2.27) | 8.70 | |
| TDG | Transdigm Group Incorporated | 9.42 | 9 per month | 0.94 | (0.0009) | 1.70 | (1.73) | 5.06 | |
| NOC | Northrop Grumman | 9.26 | 7 per month | 1.42 | 0.08 | 2.85 | (1.69) | 9.88 | |
| UPS | United Parcel Service | 0.99 | 8 per month | 1.20 | 0.13 | 2.75 | (2.42) | 11.51 | |
| CTAS | Cintas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.81 | (0) | 1.50 | (1.59) | 4.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Emerson Electric
For every potential investor in Emerson, whether a beginner or expert, Emerson Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Emerson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Emerson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Emerson Electric's price trends.Emerson Electric Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Emerson Electric stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Emerson Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Emerson Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Emerson Electric Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Emerson Electric stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Emerson Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Emerson Electric stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Emerson Electric entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 73203.48 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2294 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 148.06 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 148.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.74 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.75 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.15 |
Emerson Electric Risk Indicators
The analysis of Emerson Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Emerson Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting emerson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Variance | 2.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.16 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.77 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Emerson Electric
The number of cover stories for Emerson Electric depends on current market conditions and Emerson Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Emerson Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Emerson Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Emerson Electric Short Properties
Emerson Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when Emerson Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Emerson Electric often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Emerson Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Emerson Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 566.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Additional Tools for Emerson Stock Analysis
When running Emerson Electric's price analysis, check to measure Emerson Electric's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Emerson Electric is operating at the current time. Most of Emerson Electric's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Emerson Electric's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Emerson Electric's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Emerson Electric to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.