Edgewell Personal Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| EPC Stock | USD 16.86 0.19 1.11% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edgewell Personal Care on the next trading day is expected to be 16.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.88. Edgewell Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Edgewell Personal stock prices and determine the direction of Edgewell Personal Care's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Edgewell Personal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Edgewell Personal's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1088 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.3544 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.54 | Wall Street Target Price 23.8571 |
Using Edgewell Personal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Edgewell Personal Care from the perspective of Edgewell Personal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Edgewell Personal using Edgewell Personal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Edgewell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Edgewell Personal's stock price.
Edgewell Personal Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Edgewell Personal's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Edgewell. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Edgewell Personal stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 23.5241 | Short Percent 0.0765 | Short Ratio 4.35 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 18.024 |
Edgewell Personal Care Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Edgewell Personal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Edgewell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Edgewell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Edgewell Personal Care. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Edgewell Personal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Edgewell Personal.
Edgewell Personal Implied Volatility | 0.78 |
Edgewell Personal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Edgewell Personal Care stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Edgewell Personal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Edgewell Personal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Edgewell Personal's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edgewell Personal Care on the next trading day is expected to be 16.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.88. Edgewell Personal after-hype prediction price | USD 16.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Edgewell Personal to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Edgewell Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Edgewell Personal's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Edgewell Personal's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Edgewell Personal stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Edgewell Personal's open interest, investors have to compare it to Edgewell Personal's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Edgewell Personal is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Edgewell. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Edgewell Personal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Edgewell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Edgewell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Edgewell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Edgewell Personal Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Edgewell Personal Care on the next trading day is expected to be 16.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Edgewell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Edgewell Personal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Edgewell Personal Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Edgewell Personal | Edgewell Personal Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Edgewell Personal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Edgewell Personal's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Edgewell Personal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 14.86 and 18.86, respectively. We have considered Edgewell Personal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Edgewell Personal stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Edgewell Personal stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.0255 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0528 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2767 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0155 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.88 |
Predictive Modules for Edgewell Personal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edgewell Personal Care. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Edgewell Personal
For every potential investor in Edgewell, whether a beginner or expert, Edgewell Personal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Edgewell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Edgewell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Edgewell Personal's price trends.Edgewell Personal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Edgewell Personal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Edgewell Personal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Edgewell Personal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Edgewell Personal Care Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Edgewell Personal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Edgewell Personal's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Edgewell Personal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Edgewell Personal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Edgewell Personal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Edgewell Personal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Edgewell Personal Care entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 13745.85 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.45) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.87 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.87 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.11) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.19) |
Edgewell Personal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Edgewell Personal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Edgewell Personal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting edgewell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Variance | 3.97 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Edgewell Personal to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Personal Care Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Edgewell Personal. If investors know Edgewell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Edgewell Personal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.37) | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 0.53 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.038 |
The market value of Edgewell Personal Care is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Edgewell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Edgewell Personal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Edgewell Personal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Edgewell Personal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Edgewell Personal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Edgewell Personal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Edgewell Personal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Edgewell Personal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.