Escalade Incorporated Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ESCA Stock | USD 14.24 0.16 1.11% |
Escalade Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Escalade Incorporated stock prices and determine the direction of Escalade Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Escalade Incorporated's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Escalade Incorporated's stock price is about 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Escalade, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.27 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.92 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.95 | Wall Street Target Price 20 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.23 |
Using Escalade Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Escalade Incorporated from the perspective of Escalade Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Escalade Incorporated using Escalade Incorporated's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Escalade using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Escalade Incorporated's stock price.
Escalade Incorporated Implied Volatility | 1.13 |
Escalade Incorporated's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Escalade Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Escalade Incorporated's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Escalade Incorporated stock will not fluctuate a lot when Escalade Incorporated's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Escalade Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 14.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.63. Escalade Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 14.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Escalade Incorporated to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Escalade contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Escalade Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0706% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Escalade Incorporated trading at USD 14.24, that is roughly USD 0.0101 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Escalade Incorporated's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Escalade Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 1.13%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Escalade Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Escalade Incorporated's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Escalade Incorporated's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Escalade Incorporated stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Escalade Incorporated's open interest, investors have to compare it to Escalade Incorporated's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Escalade Incorporated is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Escalade. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Escalade Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Escalade price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Escalade using various technical indicators. When you analyze Escalade charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Escalade Incorporated Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Escalade Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 14.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Escalade Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Escalade Incorporated's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Escalade Incorporated Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Escalade Incorporated | Escalade Incorporated Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Escalade Incorporated Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Escalade Incorporated's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Escalade Incorporated's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.02 and 16.47, respectively. We have considered Escalade Incorporated's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Escalade Incorporated stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Escalade Incorporated stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5254 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0613 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2071 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.6337 |
Predictive Modules for Escalade Incorporated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Escalade Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Escalade Incorporated's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Escalade Incorporated After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Escalade Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Escalade Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Escalade Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Escalade Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Escalade Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Escalade Incorporated's historical news coverage. Escalade Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.04 and 16.44, respectively. We have considered Escalade Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Escalade Incorporated is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Escalade Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
Escalade Incorporated Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Escalade Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Escalade Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Escalade Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 2.23 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.24 | 14.24 | 0.00 |
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Escalade Incorporated Hype Timeline
Escalade Incorporated is currently traded for 14.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Escalade is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on Escalade Incorporated is about 20272.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.24. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.15. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Escalade Incorporated has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of January 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 26th of May 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Escalade Incorporated to cross-verify your projections.Escalade Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Escalade Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Escalade Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how Escalade Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Escalade Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FNKO | Funko Inc | (0.1) | 4 per month | 2.90 | 0.13 | 10.69 | (5.35) | 20.38 | |
| GDHG | Golden Heaven Group | (0.1) | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 7.61 | (10.54) | 34.10 | |
| DOGZ | Dogness International Corp | 0.64 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.47 | (11.83) | 85.55 | |
| JAKK | JAKKS Pacific | 0.14 | 6 per month | 2.19 | (0.01) | 4.74 | (4.54) | 11.05 | |
| NOMA | NOMADAR Corp Class | 0.45 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 14.87 | (15.46) | 41.91 | |
| CLAR | Clarus Corp | (0.1) | 10 per month | 2.29 | 0.02 | 3.66 | (3.78) | 18.58 | |
| SGC | Superior Uniform Group | (0.38) | 4 per month | 2.45 | (0.03) | 5.18 | (4.24) | 12.75 | |
| PLBY | Plby Group | (0.1) | 4 per month | 4.12 | 0.08 | 6.43 | (7.10) | 33.37 | |
| AIIO | Roboai Inc | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.62 | (15.79) | 75.86 | |
| CRMT | Americas Car Mart | (0.51) | 5 per month | 3.37 | 0.01 | 7.71 | (5.55) | 18.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Escalade Incorporated
For every potential investor in Escalade, whether a beginner or expert, Escalade Incorporated's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Escalade Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Escalade. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Escalade Incorporated's price trends.Escalade Incorporated Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Escalade Incorporated stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Escalade Incorporated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Escalade Incorporated by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Escalade Incorporated Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Escalade Incorporated stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Escalade Incorporated shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Escalade Incorporated stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Escalade Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 202.86 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.41) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.31 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 61.87 |
Escalade Incorporated Risk Indicators
The analysis of Escalade Incorporated's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Escalade Incorporated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting escalade stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Variance | 4.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Escalade Incorporated
The number of cover stories for Escalade Incorporated depends on current market conditions and Escalade Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Escalade Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Escalade Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Escalade Incorporated Short Properties
Escalade Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when Escalade Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Escalade Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Escalade Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Escalade Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Escalade Incorporated to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Escalade Stock refer to our How to Trade Escalade Stock guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Leisure Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Escalade Incorporated. If investors know Escalade will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Escalade Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 0.92 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.001 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Escalade Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Escalade that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Escalade Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Escalade Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Escalade Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Escalade Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Escalade Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Escalade Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Escalade Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.