ESSA Bancorp Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ESSADelisted Stock  USD 640.00  5.00  0.79%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ESSA Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 631.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 100.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,121. ESSA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ESSA Bancorp stock prices and determine the direction of ESSA Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ESSA Bancorp's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of ESSA Bancorp's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ESSA Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ESSA Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ESSA Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ESSA Bancorp from the perspective of ESSA Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ESSA Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 631.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 100.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,121.

ESSA Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 640.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

ESSA Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ESSA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ESSA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ESSA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through ESSA Bancorp price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

ESSA Bancorp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 15th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ESSA Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 631.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 100.35, mean absolute percentage error of 29,067, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6,121.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ESSA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ESSA Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ESSA Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ESSA BancorpESSA Bancorp Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ESSA Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ESSA Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria128.3878
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation100.3488
MAPEMean absolute percentage error2.6672
SAESum of the absolute errors6121.2787
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as ESSA Bancorp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for ESSA Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ESSA Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ESSA Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
640.00640.00640.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
425.68425.68704.00
Details

ESSA Bancorp Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ESSA Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ESSA Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ESSA Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ESSA Bancorp Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ESSA Bancorp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ESSA Bancorp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ESSA Bancorp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ESSA Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ESSA Bancorp Risk Indicators

The analysis of ESSA Bancorp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ESSA Bancorp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting essa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

Other Consideration for investing in ESSA Stock

If you are still planning to invest in ESSA Bancorp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the ESSA Bancorp's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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