Evercore Partners Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| EVR Stock | USD 313.75 2.40 0.77% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Evercore Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 304.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 491.92. Evercore Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Evercore Partners' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Evercore Partners' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Evercore Partners fundamentals over time.
Evercore |
Evercore Partners Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Evercore Partners' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2004-12-31 | Previous Quarter 631.6 M | Current Value 533.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 237.8 M |
Evercore Partners Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Evercore Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 304.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 8.06, mean absolute percentage error of 97.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 491.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Evercore Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Evercore Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Evercore Partners Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Evercore Partners | Evercore Partners Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Evercore Partners Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Evercore Partners' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Evercore Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 301.80 and 307.23, respectively. We have considered Evercore Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Evercore Partners stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Evercore Partners stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.6941 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 8.0642 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0296 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 491.9157 |
Predictive Modules for Evercore Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Evercore Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Evercore Partners' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Evercore Partners
For every potential investor in Evercore, whether a beginner or expert, Evercore Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Evercore Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Evercore. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Evercore Partners' price trends.Evercore Partners Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Evercore Partners stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Evercore Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Evercore Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Evercore Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Evercore Partners' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Evercore Partners' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Evercore Partners Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Evercore Partners stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Evercore Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Evercore Partners stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Evercore Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Evercore Partners Risk Indicators
The analysis of Evercore Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Evercore Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting evercore stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Variance | 7.25 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.83) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Evercore Partners
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Evercore Partners position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Evercore Partners will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Evercore Stock
| 0.84 | V | Visa Class A | PairCorr |
| 0.81 | DHIL | Diamond Hill Investment | PairCorr |
| 0.88 | DIST | Distoken Acquisition | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | AB | AllianceBernstein | PairCorr |
| 0.8 | AC | Associated Capital | PairCorr |
Moving against Evercore Stock
| 0.73 | WU | Western Union | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | XP | Xp Inc | PairCorr |
| 0.59 | PT | Pintec Technology | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | RM | Regional Management Corp | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | DMYY | dMY Squared Technology | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Evercore Partners could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Evercore Partners when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Evercore Partners - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Evercore Partners to buy it.
The correlation of Evercore Partners is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Evercore Partners moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Evercore Partners moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Evercore Partners can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Evercore Stock Analysis
When running Evercore Partners' price analysis, check to measure Evercore Partners' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Evercore Partners is operating at the current time. Most of Evercore Partners' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Evercore Partners' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Evercore Partners' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Evercore Partners to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.