Abrdn Asia Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| FAP Stock | CAD 2.77 0.02 0.72% |
Abrdn Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Abrdn Asia's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Abrdn Asia's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Abrdn Asia fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Abrdn Asia's share price is approaching 41. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Abrdn Asia, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.068 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 17.373 |
Using Abrdn Asia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of abrdn Asia Pacific from the perspective of Abrdn Asia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of abrdn Asia Pacific on the next trading day is expected to be 2.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.66. Abrdn Asia after-hype prediction price | CAD 2.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Abrdn |
Abrdn Asia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Abrdn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abrdn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abrdn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Abrdn Asia Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of abrdn Asia Pacific on the next trading day is expected to be 2.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Abrdn Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Abrdn Asia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Abrdn Asia Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Abrdn Asia | Abrdn Asia Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Abrdn Asia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Abrdn Asia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Abrdn Asia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.18 and 3.36, respectively. We have considered Abrdn Asia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Abrdn Asia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Abrdn Asia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0024 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.011 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0039 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.661 |
Predictive Modules for Abrdn Asia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as abrdn Asia Pacific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Abrdn Asia After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Abrdn Asia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abrdn Asia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abrdn Asia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Abrdn Asia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Abrdn Asia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abrdn Asia's historical news coverage. Abrdn Asia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.18 and 3.36, respectively. We have considered Abrdn Asia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Abrdn Asia is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of abrdn Asia Pacific is based on 3 months time horizon.
Abrdn Asia Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Abrdn Asia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abrdn Asia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abrdn Asia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.77 | 2.77 | 0.00 |
|
Abrdn Asia Hype Timeline
abrdn Asia Pacific is currently traded for 2.77on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Abrdn is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Abrdn Asia is about 1017.24%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.77. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. abrdn Asia Pacific has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 166.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 23rd of January 2026. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Abrdn Asia to cross-verify your projections.Abrdn Asia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Abrdn Asia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abrdn Asia's future price movements. Getting to know how Abrdn Asia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abrdn Asia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PTF | Pender Growth | 0.16 | 1 per month | 1.39 | (0) | 3.29 | (2.87) | 9.91 | |
| PBY-UN | Canso Credit Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.23 | 0.04 | 0.70 | (0.71) | 3.93 | |
| INC-UN | Income Financial Trust | 0.00 | 9 per month | 5.21 | 0.05 | 12.98 | (11.39) | 32.72 | |
| MMP-UN | Precious Metals And | (0.03) | 9 per month | 2.10 | 0.20 | 4.03 | (3.23) | 13.45 | |
| COP-UN | Sprott Physical Copper | 0.16 | 4 per month | 1.65 | 0.13 | 3.30 | (2.76) | 12.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Abrdn Asia
For every potential investor in Abrdn, whether a beginner or expert, Abrdn Asia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Abrdn Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Abrdn. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Abrdn Asia's price trends.Abrdn Asia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Abrdn Asia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Abrdn Asia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abrdn Asia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Abrdn Asia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Abrdn Asia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Abrdn Asia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Abrdn Asia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify abrdn Asia Pacific entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 120.17 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.00) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.76 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 41.76 |
Abrdn Asia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Abrdn Asia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Abrdn Asia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting abrdn stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4079 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5866 | |||
| Variance | 0.3442 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Abrdn Asia
The number of cover stories for Abrdn Asia depends on current market conditions and Abrdn Asia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abrdn Asia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abrdn Asia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Abrdn Asia Short Properties
Abrdn Asia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abrdn Asia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of abrdn Asia Pacific often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abrdn Asia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abrdn Asia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Abrdn Stock
Abrdn Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Abrdn Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Abrdn with respect to the benefits of owning Abrdn Asia security.