Fundamental Global Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

FGNX Stock   3.04  0.29  10.55%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fundamental Global on the next trading day is expected to be 2.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.81. Fundamental Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Fundamental Global's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fundamental Global's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fundamental Global, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fundamental Global's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(3.50)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.18
Wall Street Target Price
10
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.573
Using Fundamental Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fundamental Global from the perspective of Fundamental Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fundamental Global using Fundamental Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fundamental using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fundamental Global's stock price.

Fundamental Global Short Interest

An investor who is long Fundamental Global may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fundamental Global and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fundamental Global with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
15.5364
Short Percent
1.676
Short Ratio
1.5
Shares Short Prior Month
167.6 K
50 Day MA
5.6985

Fundamental Global Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fundamental Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fundamental. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fundamental can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fundamental Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fundamental Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fundamental Global.

Fundamental Global Implied Volatility

    
  2.25  
Fundamental Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fundamental Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fundamental Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fundamental Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fundamental Global's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fundamental Global on the next trading day is expected to be 2.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.81.

Fundamental Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fundamental Global to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Fundamental Stock please use our How to Invest in Fundamental Global guide.Inventory Turnover is likely to rise to 16.82 in 2026, whereas Payables Turnover is likely to drop 3.82 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 1.3 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Fundamental Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fundamental Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fundamental Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fundamental Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fundamental Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fundamental Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fundamental Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fundamental. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Fundamental Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fundamental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fundamental using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fundamental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Fundamental Global's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2012-12-31
Previous Quarter
11.1 M
Current Value
7.5 M
Quarterly Volatility
18.2 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Fundamental Global is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Fundamental Global value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Fundamental Global Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fundamental Global on the next trading day is expected to be 2.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fundamental Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fundamental Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fundamental Global Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fundamental GlobalFundamental Global Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Fundamental Global Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fundamental Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fundamental Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 8.75, respectively. We have considered Fundamental Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.04
2.52
Expected Value
8.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fundamental Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fundamental Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.6989
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2427
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0755
SAESum of the absolute errors14.8059
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Fundamental Global. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Fundamental Global. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Fundamental Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fundamental Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.142.848.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.152.929.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.040.040.04
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Fundamental Global

For every potential investor in Fundamental, whether a beginner or expert, Fundamental Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fundamental Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fundamental. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fundamental Global's price trends.

Fundamental Global Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fundamental Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fundamental Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fundamental Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fundamental Global Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fundamental Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fundamental Global's current price.

Fundamental Global Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fundamental Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fundamental Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fundamental Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fundamental Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fundamental Global Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fundamental Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fundamental Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fundamental stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Fundamental Stock Analysis

When running Fundamental Global's price analysis, check to measure Fundamental Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fundamental Global is operating at the current time. Most of Fundamental Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fundamental Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fundamental Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fundamental Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.