Fundamental Global Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| FGNX Stock | 2.17 0.10 4.41% |
Fundamental Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Fundamental Global's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (3.50) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.18 | Wall Street Target Price 10 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.573 |
Using Fundamental Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fundamental Global from the perspective of Fundamental Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fundamental Global using Fundamental Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fundamental using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fundamental Global's stock price.
Fundamental Global Short Interest
An investor who is long Fundamental Global may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fundamental Global and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fundamental Global with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.5364 | Short Percent 1.676 | Short Ratio 1.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.4 M | 50 Day MA 5.6985 |
Fundamental Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fundamental Global on the next trading day is expected to be 2.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.88.Fundamental Global Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fundamental Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fundamental. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fundamental can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fundamental Global. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fundamental Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fundamental Global.
Fundamental Global Implied Volatility | 2.18 |
Fundamental Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fundamental Global stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fundamental Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fundamental Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fundamental Global's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fundamental Global on the next trading day is expected to be 2.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.88. Fundamental Global after-hype prediction price | USD 2.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fundamental | Build AI portfolio with Fundamental Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Fundamental Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fundamental Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fundamental Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fundamental Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fundamental Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fundamental Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fundamental Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fundamental. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Fundamental Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fundamental price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fundamental using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fundamental charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fundamental Global Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fundamental Global on the next trading day is expected to be 2.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fundamental Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fundamental Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fundamental Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fundamental Global | Fundamental Global Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Fundamental Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fundamental Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fundamental Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 7.83, respectively. We have considered Fundamental Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fundamental Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fundamental Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.9449 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0268 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1479 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0527 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.875 |
Predictive Modules for Fundamental Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fundamental Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fundamental Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fundamental Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fundamental Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fundamental Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fundamental Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fundamental Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fundamental Global's historical news coverage. Fundamental Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 7.87, respectively. We have considered Fundamental Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fundamental Global is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fundamental Global is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fundamental Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fundamental Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fundamental Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fundamental Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 5.66 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.17 | 2.17 | 0.00 |
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Fundamental Global Hype Timeline
Fundamental Global is currently traded for 2.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Fundamental is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fundamental Global is about 4994.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.23. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.17. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fundamental Global recorded a loss per share of 13.03. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:25 split on the 1st of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fundamental Global to cross-verify your projections.Fundamental Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fundamental Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fundamental Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Fundamental Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fundamental Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PNBK | Patriot National Bancorp | 0.12 | 9 per month | 3.83 | 0.11 | 6.98 | (5.98) | 17.77 | |
| CHAR | Charlton Aria Acquisition | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.19 | (0.28) | 1.53 | |
| PELI | Pelican Acquisition | (0.02) | 6 per month | 0.82 | (0.02) | 1.17 | (1.79) | 8.20 | |
| RMBI | Richmond Mutual Bancorporation | 0.11 | 10 per month | 1.23 | 0.04 | 3.33 | (2.55) | 7.33 | |
| RILY | B Riley Financial | 0.52 | 10 per month | 5.75 | 0.10 | 12.75 | (9.13) | 71.25 | |
| SVII | Spring Valley Acquisition | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.18 | (0) | 0.83 | (0.57) | 1.67 | |
| EBMT | Eagle Bancorp Montana | 0.34 | 9 per month | 0.71 | 0.33 | 3.36 | (1.80) | 7.09 | |
| OCCI | OFS Credit | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.81 | (3.32) | 10.77 | |
| GOCO | GoHealth | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 10.53 | (8.43) | 28.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fundamental Global
For every potential investor in Fundamental, whether a beginner or expert, Fundamental Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fundamental Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fundamental. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fundamental Global's price trends.Fundamental Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fundamental Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fundamental Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fundamental Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fundamental Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fundamental Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fundamental Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fundamental Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fundamental Global entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 23135.89 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.53) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.17 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.17 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) |
Fundamental Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fundamental Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fundamental Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fundamental stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.58 | |||
| Variance | 31.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fundamental Global
The number of cover stories for Fundamental Global depends on current market conditions and Fundamental Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fundamental Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fundamental Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fundamental Global Short Properties
Fundamental Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fundamental Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fundamental Global often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fundamental Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fundamental Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.6 M |
Additional Tools for Fundamental Stock Analysis
When running Fundamental Global's price analysis, check to measure Fundamental Global's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fundamental Global is operating at the current time. Most of Fundamental Global's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fundamental Global's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fundamental Global's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fundamental Global to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.