Five Below Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| FIVE Stock | USD 185.42 1.82 0.97% |
Five Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Five Below stock prices and determine the direction of Five Below's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Five Below's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Five Below's share price is at 51. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Five Below, making its price go up or down. Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.3541 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8154 | Wall Street Target Price 216.6191 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.2562 |
Using Five Below hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Five Below from the perspective of Five Below response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Five Below using Five Below's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Five using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Five Below's stock price.
Five Below Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Five Below's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Five. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Five Below stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 141.866 | Short Percent 0.0438 | Short Ratio 2.04 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 179.1936 |
Five Relative Strength Index
Five Below Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Five Below's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Five. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Five can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Five Below. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Five Below's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Five Below.
Five Below Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Five Below's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Five Below stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Five Below's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Five Below stock will not fluctuate a lot when Five Below's options are near their expiration.
Five Below after-hype prediction price | USD 185.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Five Below to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Five contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Five Below will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Five Below trading at USD 185.42, that is roughly USD 0.095 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Five Below's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Five Below options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Five Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Five Below's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Five Below's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Five Below stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Five Below's open interest, investors have to compare it to Five Below's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Five Below is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Five. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Five Below Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Five price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Five using various technical indicators. When you analyze Five charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (2.21) | (1.25) |
| Check Five Below Volatility | Backtest Five Below | Information Ratio |
Five Below Trading Date Momentum
| On January 28 2026 Five Below was traded for 185.42 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 187.88 and the lowest listed price was 183.64 . The trading volume for the day was 719.3 K. The trading history from January 28, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.51% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Five Below to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Five Below
For every potential investor in Five, whether a beginner or expert, Five Below's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Five Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Five. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Five Below's price trends.Five Below Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Five Below stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Five Below could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Five Below by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Five Below Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Five Below stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Five Below shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Five Below stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Five Below entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 16232.83 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.43) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 185.76 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 185.65 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.82) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 51.46 |
Five Below Risk Indicators
The analysis of Five Below's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Five Below's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting five stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.51 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.29 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Five Below
The number of cover stories for Five Below depends on current market conditions and Five Below's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Five Below is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Five Below's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Five Below Short Properties
Five Below's future price predictability will typically decrease when Five Below's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Five Below often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Five Below's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five Below's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 528.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Five Below to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Five Stock refer to our How to Trade Five Stock guide.You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Will Other Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Five diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five Below. Market participants price Five higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Five Below data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 21 | Earnings Share 5.56 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.231 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Five Below requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Five's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Five Below's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Five Below's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five Below's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five Below is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Five Below's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.