Full House Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

FLL Stock  USD 4.91  0.07  1.41%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Full House Resorts on the next trading day is expected to be 4.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.94. Full Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Full House's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Full House's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Full House fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Full House's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Payables Turnover is expected to rise to 21.77 this year, although the value of Receivables Turnover will most likely fall to 30.51. . The value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to slide to about 19.5 M. Net Loss is expected to rise to about (12.7 M) this year.
Full House polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Full House Resorts as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Full House Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Full House Resorts on the next trading day is expected to be 4.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Full Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Full House's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Full House Stock Forecast Pattern

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Full House Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Full House's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Full House's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.61 and 6.74, respectively. We have considered Full House's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.91
4.68
Expected Value
6.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Full House stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Full House stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.736
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0809
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0164
SAESum of the absolute errors4.9371
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Full House historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Full House

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Full House Resorts. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.924.987.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.875.937.99
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.018.809.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Full House

For every potential investor in Full, whether a beginner or expert, Full House's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Full Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Full. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Full House's price trends.

Full House Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Full House stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Full House could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Full House by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Full House Resorts Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Full House's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Full House's current price.

Full House Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Full House stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Full House shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Full House stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Full House Resorts entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Full House Risk Indicators

The analysis of Full House's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Full House's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting full stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Full House Resorts is a strong investment it is important to analyze Full House's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Full House's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Full Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Full House to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Full House. If investors know Full will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Full House listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.056
Earnings Share
(1.18)
Revenue Per Share
8.042
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.058
Return On Assets
(0)
The market value of Full House Resorts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Full that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Full House's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Full House's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Full House's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Full House's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Full House's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Full House is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Full House's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.