Comscore Stock Price Prediction

SCOR Stock  USD 8.80  0.19  2.11%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of Comscore's share price is above 70 as of today. This usually implies that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Comscore, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 72

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Comscore's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Comscore and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Comscore's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Comscore, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Comscore's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.975
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.22
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.915
Wall Street Target Price
10
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.915
Using Comscore hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comscore from the perspective of Comscore response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Comscore Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Comscore's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Comscore. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Comscore can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Comscore. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Comscore's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Comscore.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Comscore to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Comscore because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Comscore after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Comscore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Comscore Stock, please use our How to Invest in Comscore guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.578.5012.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.489.4113.33
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
9.1010.0011.10
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.560.560.56
Details

Comscore After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Comscore at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comscore or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comscore, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Comscore Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Comscore's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comscore's historical news coverage. Comscore's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.32 and 13.18, respectively. We have considered Comscore's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.80
9.25
After-hype Price
13.18
Upside
Comscore is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comscore is based on 3 months time horizon.

Comscore Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Comscore is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comscore backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comscore, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.34 
3.93
  0.26 
  0.11 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.80
9.25
2.89 
510.39  
Notes

Comscore Hype Timeline

Comscore is at this time traded for 8.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Comscore is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 9.25 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 2.89%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Comscore is about 1245.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.91. Comscore currently holds 64.12 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Comscore Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Comscore Stock, please use our How to Invest in Comscore guide.

Comscore Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Comscore's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comscore's future price movements. Getting to know how Comscore's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comscore may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BODIThe Beachbody Company 0.89 10 per month 4.35  0.18  16.28 (7.03) 31.37 
PODCCourtside Group Common(0.28)10 per month 4.42  0.13  10.59 (8.30) 24.81 
ZDGEZedge Inc 0.06 11 per month 6.06  0.03  7.89 (8.01) 31.44 
TCTuanChe ADR 1.14 7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 7.45 (10.60) 31.07 
UONEUrban One 0.20 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.76 (5.65) 25.79 
FLNTFluent Inc(0.09)9 per month 3.21  0.16  10.98 (5.51) 26.93 
ACCSACCESS Newswire 0.75 8 per month 3.86  0.01  5.58 (5.41) 25.77 
MNYMoneyHero Limited Class 0.13 8 per month 4.27  0.03  9.85 (5.76) 39.95 
TOONKartoon Studios 0.04 10 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.41 (4.71) 19.55 

Comscore Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Comscore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comscore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comscore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Comscore Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Comscore stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Comscore, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comscore based on analysis of Comscore hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Comscore's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Comscore's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Interest Debt Per Share10.0713.1611.8514.03
Revenue Per Share77.1871.0163.9158.93

Pair Trading with Comscore

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Comscore position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Comscore will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Comscore Stock

  0.67603598 Inly MediaPairCorr
  0.71FLNT Fluent IncPairCorr

Moving against Comscore Stock

  0.66INTJ Intelligent GroupPairCorr
  0.33NCMI National CineMediaPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Comscore could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Comscore when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Comscore - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Comscore to buy it.
The correlation of Comscore is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Comscore moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Comscore moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Comscore can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Comscore Stock Analysis

When running Comscore's price analysis, check to measure Comscore's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comscore is operating at the current time. Most of Comscore's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comscore's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comscore's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comscore to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.