Forge Global Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| FRGE Stock | USD 44.70 0.01 0.02% |
Forge Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Forge Global stock prices and determine the direction of Forge Global Holdings's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Forge Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The relative strength indicator of Forge Global's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 84
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.74) | EPS Estimate Current Year (3.97) | EPS Estimate Next Year (2.05) | Wall Street Target Price 45 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.94) |
Using Forge Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Forge Global Holdings from the perspective of Forge Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Forge Global using Forge Global's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Forge using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Forge Global's stock price.
Forge Global Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Forge Global's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Forge. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Forge Global stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 25.0283 | Short Percent 0.0504 | Short Ratio 2.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 503.7 K | 50 Day MA 44.4866 |
Forge Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Forge Global Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 44.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.30.Forge Global Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Forge Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Forge. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Forge can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Forge Global Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Forge Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Forge Global.
Forge Global Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Forge Global's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Forge Global Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Forge Global's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Forge Global stock will not fluctuate a lot when Forge Global's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Forge Global Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 44.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.30. Forge Global after-hype prediction price | USD 44.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Forge Global to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Forge contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Forge Global Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0588% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Forge Global trading at USD 44.7, that is roughly USD 0.0263 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Forge Global's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Forge Global Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Forge Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Forge Global's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Forge Global's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Forge Global stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Forge Global's open interest, investors have to compare it to Forge Global's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Forge Global is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Forge. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Forge Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Forge price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Forge using various technical indicators. When you analyze Forge charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forge Global Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Forge Global Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 44.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 1.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Forge Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Forge Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Forge Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Forge Global | Forge Global Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forge Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Forge Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Forge Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.97 and 53.43, respectively. We have considered Forge Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Forge Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Forge Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7415 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1681 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2424 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0055 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.3 |
Predictive Modules for Forge Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forge Global Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Forge Global After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Forge Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Forge Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Forge Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Forge Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Forge Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Forge Global's historical news coverage. Forge Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.11 and 53.57, respectively. We have considered Forge Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Forge Global is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Forge Global Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Forge Global Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Forge Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Forge Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Forge Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.13 | 8.73 | 0.14 | 0.07 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
44.70 | 44.84 | 0.31 |
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Forge Global Hype Timeline
Forge Global Holdings is currently traded for 44.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Forge is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 44.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.31%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.13%. The volatility of related hype on Forge Global is about 13857.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 44.77. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 79.33 M. Net Loss for the year was (67.84 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 91.93 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Forge Global to cross-verify your projections.Forge Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Forge Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Forge Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Forge Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Forge Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| REKR | Rekor Systems | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 4.90 | (7.64) | 16.09 | |
| OCFT | Oneconnect Financial Technology | 0.12 | 20 per month | 0.52 | 0.08 | 1.55 | (1.11) | 4.57 | |
| PDYN | Palladyne AI Corp | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.65 | (7.57) | 26.24 | |
| ALTS | ALT5 Sigma | 0.22 | 8 per month | 5.93 | 0.02 | 15.07 | (9.81) | 40.07 | |
| SMRT | SmartRent | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.16 | 0.05 | 5.75 | (4.06) | 21.69 | |
| AZ | A2Z Smart Technologies | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 7.60 | (7.74) | 25.03 | |
| LAW | CS Disco LLC | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.96 | (4.64) | 17.24 | |
| RMNI | Rimini Street | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.53 | (3.72) | 15.77 | |
| EGHT | 8x8 Common Stock | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.40 | (4.84) | 34.75 | |
| ONTF | ON24 Inc | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.12 | 4.60 | (3.14) | 38.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Forge Global
For every potential investor in Forge, whether a beginner or expert, Forge Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Forge Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Forge. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Forge Global's price trends.Forge Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Forge Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Forge Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forge Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Forge Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Forge Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Forge Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Forge Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Forge Global Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Forge Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Forge Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Forge Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting forge stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.02 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.75 | |||
| Variance | 76.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8509 | |||
| Semi Variance | (1.21) | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Forge Global
The number of cover stories for Forge Global depends on current market conditions and Forge Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Forge Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Forge Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Forge Global Short Properties
Forge Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Forge Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Forge Global Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Forge Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forge Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Forge Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Forge diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forge Global. Market participants price Forge higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Forge Global data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (4.90) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.106 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate Forge Global Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Forge Global's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Forge Global's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forge Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forge Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Forge Global's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.