FTAI Aviation Preferred Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| FTAIM Preferred Stock | 27.34 0.03 0.11% |
FTAI Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The value of RSI of FTAI Aviation's share price is at 53. This usually indicates that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FTAI Aviation, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FTAI Aviation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FTAI Aviation Ltd from the perspective of FTAI Aviation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of FTAI Aviation Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 27.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.17. FTAI Aviation after-hype prediction price | USD 27.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FTAI |
FTAI Aviation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FTAI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FTAI using various technical indicators. When you analyze FTAI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FTAI Aviation Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of FTAI Aviation Ltd on the next trading day is expected to be 27.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FTAI Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FTAI Aviation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FTAI Aviation Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FTAI Aviation | FTAI Aviation Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
FTAI Aviation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FTAI Aviation's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FTAI Aviation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.79 and 27.85, respectively. We have considered FTAI Aviation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FTAI Aviation preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FTAI Aviation preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7188 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1339 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.005 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.1669 |
Predictive Modules for FTAI Aviation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FTAI Aviation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FTAI Aviation After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FTAI Aviation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FTAI Aviation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of FTAI Aviation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FTAI Aviation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FTAI Aviation's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FTAI Aviation's historical news coverage. FTAI Aviation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.80 and 27.88, respectively. We have considered FTAI Aviation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FTAI Aviation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FTAI Aviation is based on 3 months time horizon.
FTAI Aviation Preferred Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FTAI Aviation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FTAI Aviation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FTAI Aviation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 0.06 | 20 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 20 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.34 | 27.34 | 0.00 |
|
FTAI Aviation Hype Timeline
FTAI Aviation is currently traded for 27.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.54, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. FTAI is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 4.88%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on FTAI Aviation is about 40.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.28. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 20 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FTAI Aviation to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in FTAI Preferred Stock, please use our How to Invest in FTAI Aviation guide.FTAI Aviation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FTAI Aviation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FTAI Aviation's future price movements. Getting to know how FTAI Aviation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FTAI Aviation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRTN-PC | Triton International Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | (0.17) | 0.68 | (0.64) | 2.46 | |
| MGRC | McGrath RentCorp | (6.20) | 10 per month | 1.27 | 0.11 | 3.75 | (2.02) | 10.26 | |
| ABM | ABM Industries Incorporated | 0.48 | 10 per month | 2.60 | 0.03 | 2.57 | (3.05) | 15.37 | |
| LUNR | Intuitive Machines | (1.09) | 11 per month | 6.30 | 0.16 | 12.42 | (8.74) | 52.99 | |
| SXI | Standex International | (1.03) | 9 per month | 2.07 | 0.01 | 3.49 | (2.89) | 12.69 | |
| POWW | Ammo Inc | (0.03) | 10 per month | 2.76 | 0.05 | 5.39 | (4.71) | 12.42 | |
| AIR | AAR Corp | (1.19) | 10 per month | 0.79 | 0.30 | 4.20 | (1.93) | 7.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for FTAI Aviation
For every potential investor in FTAI, whether a beginner or expert, FTAI Aviation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FTAI Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FTAI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FTAI Aviation's price trends.FTAI Aviation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FTAI Aviation preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FTAI Aviation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FTAI Aviation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FTAI Aviation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FTAI Aviation preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FTAI Aviation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FTAI Aviation preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FTAI Aviation Ltd entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FTAI Aviation Risk Indicators
The analysis of FTAI Aviation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FTAI Aviation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ftai preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3825 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5011 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5532 | |||
| Variance | 0.3061 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.414 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2511 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FTAI Aviation
The number of cover stories for FTAI Aviation depends on current market conditions and FTAI Aviation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FTAI Aviation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FTAI Aviation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
FTAI Aviation Short Properties
FTAI Aviation's future price predictability will typically decrease when FTAI Aviation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FTAI Aviation Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FTAI Aviation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FTAI Aviation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in FTAI Preferred Stock
FTAI Aviation financial ratios help investors to determine whether FTAI Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in FTAI with respect to the benefits of owning FTAI Aviation security.