FTC Solar Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| FTCI Stock | USD 11.41 0.09 0.78% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of FTC Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 12.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.25. FTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of FTC Solar's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of FTC Solar's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.39) | EPS Estimate Current Year (2.70) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.01) | Wall Street Target Price 12 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.53) |
Using FTC Solar hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FTC Solar from the perspective of FTC Solar response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FTC Solar using FTC Solar's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FTC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FTC Solar's stock price.
FTC Solar Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in FTC Solar's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards FTC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of FTC Solar stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 6.6655 | Short Percent 0.1074 | Short Ratio 10.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 952.6 K | 50 Day MA 10.3081 |
FTC Solar Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FTC Solar's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FTC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FTC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FTC Solar. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
FTC Solar Implied Volatility | 1.43 |
FTC Solar's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FTC Solar stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FTC Solar's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FTC Solar stock will not fluctuate a lot when FTC Solar's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of FTC Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 12.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.25. FTC Solar after-hype prediction price | USD 11.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FTC Solar to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FTC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FTC Solar will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0894% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With FTC Solar trading at USD 11.41, that is roughly USD 0.0102 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FTC Solar's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FTC Solar options at the current volatility level of 1.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 FTC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast FTC Solar's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in FTC Solar's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for FTC Solar stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current FTC Solar's open interest, investors have to compare it to FTC Solar's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of FTC Solar is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in FTC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
FTC Solar Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FTC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FTC using various technical indicators. When you analyze FTC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FTC Solar Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of FTC Solar on the next trading day is expected to be 12.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.67, mean absolute percentage error of 0.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FTC Solar's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FTC Solar Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FTC Solar | FTC Solar Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FTC Solar Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FTC Solar's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FTC Solar's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.19 and 20.21, respectively. We have considered FTC Solar's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FTC Solar stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FTC Solar stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.5208 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6653 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0666 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.251 |
Predictive Modules for FTC Solar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FTC Solar. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FTC Solar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FTC Solar After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FTC Solar at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FTC Solar or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FTC Solar, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FTC Solar Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FTC Solar's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FTC Solar's historical news coverage. FTC Solar's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.40 and 19.42, respectively. We have considered FTC Solar's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FTC Solar is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FTC Solar is based on 3 months time horizon.
FTC Solar Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FTC Solar is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FTC Solar backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FTC Solar, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.65 | 8.01 | 0.40 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.41 | 11.41 | 0.00 |
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FTC Solar Hype Timeline
FTC Solar is currently traded for 11.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. FTC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.65%. %. The volatility of related hype on FTC Solar is about 8100.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.47. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.12. FTC Solar had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 2nd of December 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FTC Solar to cross-verify your projections.FTC Solar Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FTC Solar's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FTC Solar's future price movements. Getting to know how FTC Solar's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FTC Solar may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPWR | Complete Solaria | (0.26) | 19 per month | 3.92 | 0.06 | 8.28 | (6.98) | 22.96 | |
| TYGO | Tigo Energy | 0.02 | 8 per month | 4.42 | 0.09 | 14.19 | (8.95) | 32.25 | |
| ZEO | Zeo Energy Corp | 0.61 | 19 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.56 | (8.72) | 24.78 | |
| SOL | Emeren Group | 0.61 | 18 per month | 0.78 | (0.01) | 2.20 | (1.16) | 4.54 | |
| MMLP | Martin Midstream Partners | (0.26) | 15 per month | 2.64 | 0.05 | 6.25 | (4.27) | 19.56 | |
| DLNG | Dynagas LNG Partners | (0.26) | 14 per month | 1.16 | 0.1 | 2.41 | (2.30) | 9.74 | |
| EP | Empire Petroleum Corp | 0.32 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 9.18 | (7.74) | 20.26 | |
| BEEM | Beam Global | 0.1 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 7.74 | (7.61) | 19.76 | |
| MAXN | Maxeon Solar Technologies | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.76 | (6.48) | 19.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for FTC Solar
For every potential investor in FTC, whether a beginner or expert, FTC Solar's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FTC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FTC Solar's price trends.FTC Solar Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FTC Solar stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FTC Solar could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FTC Solar by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FTC Solar Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FTC Solar stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FTC Solar shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FTC Solar stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FTC Solar entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2181.59 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.21) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.32 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.095 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) |
FTC Solar Risk Indicators
The analysis of FTC Solar's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FTC Solar's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ftc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.83 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.84 | |||
| Variance | 61.43 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 23.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FTC Solar
The number of cover stories for FTC Solar depends on current market conditions and FTC Solar's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FTC Solar is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FTC Solar's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FTC Solar Short Properties
FTC Solar's future price predictability will typically decrease when FTC Solar's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FTC Solar often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FTC Solar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FTC Solar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FTC Solar to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in FTC Stock please use our How to Invest in FTC Solar guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FTC Solar. If investors know FTC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FTC Solar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (4.12) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.568 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of FTC Solar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FTC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FTC Solar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FTC Solar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FTC Solar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FTC Solar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FTC Solar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FTC Solar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FTC Solar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.