GATX Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| GATX Stock | USD 183.62 2.01 1.08% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of GATX Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 181.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.09. GATX Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of GATX's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.2469 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.7531 | EPS Estimate Next Year 10.0332 | Wall Street Target Price 203.5 |
Using GATX hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GATX Corporation from the perspective of GATX response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GATX using GATX's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GATX using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GATX's stock price.
GATX Short Interest
An investor who is long GATX may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about GATX and may potentially protect profits, hedge GATX with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 159.9404 | Short Percent 0.043 | Short Ratio 5.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 880.6 K | 50 Day MA 166.537 |
GATX Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to GATX's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GATX. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GATX can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GATX Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
GATX Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
GATX's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GATX Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GATX's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GATX stock will not fluctuate a lot when GATX's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of GATX Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 181.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.09. GATX after-hype prediction price | USD 185.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GATX to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GATX contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that GATX Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With GATX trading at USD 183.62, that is roughly USD 0.0505 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating GATX's daily price movement you should consider acquiring GATX Corporation options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 GATX Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GATX's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GATX's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GATX stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GATX's open interest, investors have to compare it to GATX's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GATX is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GATX. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
GATX Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GATX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GATX using various technical indicators. When you analyze GATX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GATX Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of GATX Corporation on the next trading day is expected to be 181.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.49, mean absolute percentage error of 10.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 152.09.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GATX Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GATX's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GATX Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GATX | GATX Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
GATX Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GATX's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GATX's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 180.52 and 182.68, respectively. We have considered GATX's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GATX stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GATX stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.4422 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.4932 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 152.0867 |
Predictive Modules for GATX
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GATX. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GATX's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GATX After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GATX at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GATX or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GATX, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GATX Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GATX's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GATX's historical news coverage. GATX's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 184.56 and 186.72, respectively. We have considered GATX's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GATX is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GATX is based on 3 months time horizon.
GATX Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GATX is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GATX backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GATX, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.08 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
183.62 | 185.64 | 0.01 |
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GATX Hype Timeline
GATX is currently traded for 183.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. GATX is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 185.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on GATX is about 354.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 183.54. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.59 B. Net Income was 284.2 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.26 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GATX to cross-verify your projections.GATX Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GATX's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GATX's future price movements. Getting to know how GATX's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GATX may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TKR | Timken Company | 3.01 | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.17 | 3.38 | (2.13) | 8.44 | |
| FCN | FTI Consulting | (0.51) | 9 per month | 0.85 | 0.12 | 2.69 | (1.82) | 8.69 | |
| R | Ryder System | (4.05) | 12 per month | 2.79 | 0.02 | 3.54 | (3.03) | 13.25 | |
| CAR | Avis Budget Group | (0.02) | 40 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.62 | (4.19) | 10.91 | |
| KEX | Kirby | 2.50 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.26 | 3.74 | (1.28) | 16.66 | |
| KBR | KBR Inc | (0.93) | 11 per month | 1.70 | (0.02) | 3.22 | (2.79) | 10.41 | |
| CPA | Copa Holdings SA | (0.59) | 9 per month | 2.01 | 0.02 | 3.06 | (1.93) | 13.61 | |
| GTES | Gates Industrial | (0.19) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.97 | (2.94) | 15.34 | |
| MSA | MSA Safety | (2.30) | 7 per month | 1.61 | 0.04 | 3.11 | (2.04) | 11.36 | |
| AL | Air Lease | 0.03 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.63) | 0.25 | (0.17) | 0.66 |
Other Forecasting Options for GATX
For every potential investor in GATX, whether a beginner or expert, GATX's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GATX Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GATX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GATX's price trends.GATX Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GATX stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GATX could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GATX by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GATX Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GATX stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GATX shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GATX stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GATX Corporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0123 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.88) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 184.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 184.2 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.29 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.87) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.01) |
GATX Risk Indicators
The analysis of GATX's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GATX's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gatx stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9706 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GATX
The number of cover stories for GATX depends on current market conditions and GATX's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GATX is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GATX's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GATX Short Properties
GATX's future price predictability will typically decrease when GATX's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GATX Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GATX's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GATX's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 401.6 M |
Additional Tools for GATX Stock Analysis
When running GATX's price analysis, check to measure GATX's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GATX is operating at the current time. Most of GATX's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GATX's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GATX's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GATX to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.