Timken Company Stock Price Patterns
| TKR Stock | USD 94.99 1.80 1.93% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Timken hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Timken Company from the perspective of Timken response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Timken to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Timken because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Timken after-hype prediction price | USD 94.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Timken Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Timken After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Timken at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Timken or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Timken, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Timken Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Timken's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Timken's historical news coverage. Timken's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.27 and 96.71, respectively. We have considered Timken's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Timken is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Timken Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
Timken Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Timken is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Timken backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Timken, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.72 | 0.90 | 0.09 | 19 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 19 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
94.99 | 94.99 | 0.00 |
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Timken Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Timken Company is traded for 94.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.9, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Timken is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 72.88%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Timken is about 747.83%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 95.08. About 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Timken was at this time reported as 45.0. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.31. Timken Company last dividend was issued on the 25th of November 2025. The entity had 1397:1000 split on the 1st of July 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 19 days. Check out Timken Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Timken Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Timken's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Timken's future price movements. Getting to know how Timken's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Timken may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GATX | GATX Corporation | 0.05 | 16 per month | 0.61 | 0.24 | 1.96 | (1.23) | 4.89 | |
| GTES | Gates Industrial | 3.63 | 4 per month | 1.57 | 0.07 | 3.04 | (1.96) | 9.05 | |
| KBR | KBR Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.54 | (0.02) | 2.27 | (2.56) | 10.41 | |
| FCN | FTI Consulting | (1.76) | 20 per month | 1.10 | 0.03 | 1.99 | (2.05) | 7.74 | |
| KEX | Kirby | 1.66 | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.18 | 3.74 | (1.94) | 18.58 | |
| RAL | Ralliant Common | (0.87) | 9 per month | 1.18 | 0.17 | 3.14 | (2.41) | 8.74 | |
| CPA | Copa Holdings SA | (2.69) | 10 per month | 2.09 | 0.05 | 3.06 | (2.09) | 13.61 | |
| TTC | Toro Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.70 | 0.18 | 2.94 | (1.82) | 13.49 | |
| OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario del | 0.27 | 9 per month | 1.08 | 0.14 | 4.87 | (1.92) | 10.36 | |
| MSA | MSA Safety | 2.01 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.07 | 3.11 | (2.04) | 11.36 |
Timken Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Timken price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Timken using various technical indicators. When you analyze Timken charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Timken Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Timken stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Timken Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Timken based on analysis of Timken hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Timken's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Timken's related companies.
Pair Trading with Timken
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Timken position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Timken will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Timken Stock
Moving against Timken Stock
| 0.47 | T | ATT Inc Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.39 | HPQ | HP Inc Aggressive Push | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | MMM | 3M Company | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Timken could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Timken when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Timken - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Timken Company to buy it.
The correlation of Timken is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Timken moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Timken Company moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Timken can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Timken Stock Analysis
When running Timken's price analysis, check to measure Timken's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Timken is operating at the current time. Most of Timken's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Timken's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Timken's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Timken to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.