Genesco Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

GCO Stock  USD 27.76  0.66  2.32%   
Genesco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Genesco's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Genesco's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Genesco fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of rsi of Genesco's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Genesco's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Genesco, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Genesco's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.272
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5167
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.1425
Wall Street Target Price
38
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.86
Using Genesco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genesco from the perspective of Genesco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Genesco using Genesco's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Genesco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Genesco's stock price.

Genesco Short Interest

An investor who is long Genesco may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Genesco and may potentially protect profits, hedge Genesco with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
27.0798
Short Percent
0.0919
Short Ratio
2.71
Shares Short Prior Month
945.5 K
50 Day MA
28.5708

Genesco Relative Strength Index

Genesco Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Genesco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Genesco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genesco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genesco. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Genesco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Genesco.

Genesco Implied Volatility

    
  1.03  
Genesco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Genesco stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Genesco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Genesco stock will not fluctuate a lot when Genesco's options are near their expiration.

Genesco after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 27.88  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genesco to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Genesco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Genesco guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Genesco contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Genesco will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0644% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Genesco trading at USD 27.76, that is roughly USD 0.0179 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Genesco's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Genesco options at the current volatility level of 1.03%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Genesco Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Genesco's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Genesco's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Genesco stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Genesco's open interest, investors have to compare it to Genesco's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Genesco is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Genesco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Genesco Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Genesco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genesco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genesco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Genesco has current Accumulation Distribution of 7008.08. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Genesco is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Genesco to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Genesco trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Genesco VolatilityBacktest GenescoInformation Ratio  

Genesco Trading Date Momentum

On February 12 2026 Genesco was traded for  27.76  at the closing time. Highest Genesco's price during the trading hours was 29.49  and the lowest price during the day was  27.38 . The net volume was 97.9 K. The overall trading history on the 12th of February 2026 did not cause price change. The overall trading delta to current price is 4.03% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Genesco to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Genesco

For every potential investor in Genesco, whether a beginner or expert, Genesco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genesco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genesco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genesco's price trends.

Genesco Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genesco stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genesco could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genesco by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Genesco Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genesco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genesco shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genesco stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genesco entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Genesco Risk Indicators

The analysis of Genesco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genesco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genesco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Genesco

The number of cover stories for Genesco depends on current market conditions and Genesco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genesco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genesco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Genesco Short Properties

Genesco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Genesco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genesco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genesco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genesco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments34 M
When determining whether Genesco offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Genesco's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Genesco Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Genesco Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genesco to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Genesco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Genesco guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Genesco diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genesco. Market participants price Genesco higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Genesco data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.272
Earnings Share
(0.21)
Revenue Per Share
227.648
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.033
Return On Assets
0.0077
Understanding Genesco requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Genesco's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Genesco's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Genesco's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genesco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genesco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Genesco's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.