Greif Bros Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GEF Stock | USD 71.70 1.08 1.53% |
Greif Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Greif Bros' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Greif Bros' stock price is roughly 60. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 2nd of February 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Greif, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Greif Bros hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Greif Bros from the perspective of Greif Bros response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Greif Bros on the next trading day is expected to be 71.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.10. Greif Bros after-hype prediction price | USD 71.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Greif Bros to cross-verify your projections. Greif Bros Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Greif price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Greif using various technical indicators. When you analyze Greif charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Greif Bros Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Greif Bros on the next trading day is expected to be 71.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.88, mean absolute percentage error of 1.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Greif Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Greif Bros' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Greif Bros Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Greif Bros | Greif Bros Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Greif Bros Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Greif Bros' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Greif Bros' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 69.74 and 72.58, respectively. We have considered Greif Bros' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Greif Bros stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Greif Bros stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5941 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3739 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8831 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0132 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.1 |
Predictive Modules for Greif Bros
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Greif Bros. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Greif Bros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Greif Bros After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Greif Bros at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Greif Bros or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Greif Bros, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Greif Bros Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Greif Bros' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Greif Bros' historical news coverage. Greif Bros' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 70.28 and 73.12, respectively. We have considered Greif Bros' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Greif Bros is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Greif Bros is based on 3 months time horizon.
Greif Bros Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Greif Bros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Greif Bros backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Greif Bros, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 1.42 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
71.70 | 71.70 | 0.00 |
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Greif Bros Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Greif Bros is traded for 71.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.12. Greif is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on Greif Bros is about 470.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71.82. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.4. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Greif Bros has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.25. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of December 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of April 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Greif Bros to cross-verify your projections.Greif Bros Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Greif Bros' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Greif Bros' future price movements. Getting to know how Greif Bros' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Greif Bros may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SON | Sonoco Products | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.21 | 2.97 | (1.54) | 6.08 | |
| YETI | YETI Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.25 | 4.49 | (2.93) | 12.03 | |
| LCII | LCI Industries | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.46 | 0.27 | 3.99 | (1.80) | 11.30 | |
| COLM | Columbia Sportswear | 2.32 | 12 per month | 1.88 | 0.01 | 3.71 | (3.26) | 10.24 | |
| ZGN | Ermenegildo Zegna NV | 0.26 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.35 | (3.34) | 17.11 | |
| TPH | TRI Pointe Homes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.03 | 5.16 | (2.65) | 11.56 | |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners | 1.19 | 7 per month | 1.57 | 0.01 | 4.56 | (3.08) | 10.63 | |
| PRKS | United Parks Resorts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.60 | (4.99) | 24.45 | |
| DAN | Dana Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.22 | 5.01 | (2.89) | 13.40 | |
| AEO | American Eagle Outfitters | (0.75) | 6 per month | 1.95 | 0.18 | 5.78 | (3.60) | 19.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Greif Bros
For every potential investor in Greif, whether a beginner or expert, Greif Bros' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Greif Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Greif. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Greif Bros' price trends.Greif Bros Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Greif Bros stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Greif Bros could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Greif Bros by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Greif Bros Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Greif Bros stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Greif Bros shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Greif Bros stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Greif Bros entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Greif Bros Risk Indicators
The analysis of Greif Bros' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Greif Bros' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting greif stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.42 | |||
| Variance | 2.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Greif Bros
The number of cover stories for Greif Bros depends on current market conditions and Greif Bros' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Greif Bros is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Greif Bros' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Greif Bros Short Properties
Greif Bros' future price predictability will typically decrease when Greif Bros' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Greif Bros often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Greif Bros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Greif Bros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 256.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Greif Bros to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Greif Stock please use our How to Invest in Greif Bros guide.You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Greif have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Greif Bros. Market participants price Greif higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Greif Bros demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate Greif Bros using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Greif Bros' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Greif Bros' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Greif Bros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Greif Bros is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Greif Bros' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.