New Germany Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

GF Fund  USD 11.77  0.29  2.53%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of New Germany Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 11.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.40. New Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of New Germany's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of New Germany's share price is above 70 as of 5th of January 2026. This usually indicates that the fund is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling New, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 73

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of New Germany's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of New Germany and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from New Germany's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with New Germany Closed, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using New Germany hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of New Germany Closed from the perspective of New Germany response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of New Germany Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 11.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.40.

New Germany after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.77  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of New Germany to cross-verify your projections.

New Germany Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine New price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for New using various technical indicators. When you analyze New charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for New Germany works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

New Germany Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of New Germany Closed on the next trading day is expected to be 11.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict New Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that New Germany's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

New Germany Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest New GermanyNew Germany Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

New Germany Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting New Germany's Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. New Germany's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.67 and 12.87, respectively. We have considered New Germany's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.77
11.77
Expected Value
12.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of New Germany fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent New Germany fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0236
MADMean absolute deviation0.1084
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0099
SAESum of the absolute errors6.3957
When New Germany Closed prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any New Germany Closed trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent New Germany observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for New Germany

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Germany Closed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7111.7712.83
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5211.5812.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
11.3011.5811.85
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as New Germany. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against New Germany's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, New Germany's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in New Germany Closed.

Other Forecasting Options for New Germany

For every potential investor in New, whether a beginner or expert, New Germany's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. New Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in New. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying New Germany's price trends.

New Germany Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with New Germany fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of New Germany could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing New Germany by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

New Germany Closed Technical and Predictive Analytics

The fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of New Germany's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of New Germany's current price.

New Germany Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how New Germany fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading New Germany shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying New Germany fund market strength indicators, traders can identify New Germany Closed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

New Germany Risk Indicators

The analysis of New Germany's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in New Germany's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting new fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in New Fund

New Germany financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New Germany security.
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Financial Widgets
Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.