China Fund Price Patterns

CHN Fund  USD 2.00  0.08  4.17%   
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of China Fund's share price is at 51 suggesting that the fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling China Fund, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 51

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Fund's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Fund hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Fund from the perspective of China Fund response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Fund to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China Fund after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out China Fund Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.866.90
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in China Fund.

China Fund After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China Fund at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Fund or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of China Fund, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China Fund Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China Fund's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Fund's historical news coverage. China Fund's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 7.03, respectively. We have considered China Fund's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.00
1.99
After-hype Price
7.03
Upside
China Fund is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Fund Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as China Fund is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Fund backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Fund, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
5.04
  0.01 
  0.18 
2 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.00
1.99
0.50 
12,600  
Notes

China Fund Hype Timeline

On the 14th of February 2026 China Fund is traded for 2.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.18. China is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on China Fund is about 644.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.82. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Fund last dividend was issued on the 27th of December 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out China Fund Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China Fund Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Fund's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Fund's future price movements. Getting to know how China Fund's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Fund may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BSLBlackstone Gso Senior(0.01)3 per month 0.00 (0.30) 0.52 (0.59) 2.43 
IDEVoya Infrastructure Industrials 0.05 7 per month 0.00  0.37  1.44 (0.62) 2.83 
IGAVoya Global Advantage 0.06 6 per month 0.30  0.06  0.95 (0.62) 2.00 
GFNew Germany Closed 0.06 5 per month 0.77  0.12  1.84 (1.21) 4.91 
DHFBNY Mellon High 0.00 4 per month 0.52 (0.05) 1.22 (0.81) 2.46 
PRIVXSharespost 100 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.12  1.04 (0.42) 8.26 
DRSVXFoundry Partners Fundamental(7.94)3 per month 0.60  0.17  2.29 (1.37) 4.77 
SPESpecial Opportunities Closed 0.03 5 per month 0.66  0.01  0.74 (0.78) 4.57 
YFSNXAmg Yacktman Focused(0.07)1 per month 0.37  0.32  1.37 (1.13) 4.86 
TRDFXSteward Small Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.52  0.13  2.13 (1.60) 10.83 

China Fund Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China Fund Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China Fund stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Fund based on analysis of China Fund hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Fund's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Fund's related companies.

Pair Trading with China Fund

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if China Fund position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in China Fund will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with China Fund

  0.77FMY First Trust MortgagePairCorr
  0.65CCD Calamos Dynamic ConvPairCorr

Moving against China Fund

  0.56CUBA Herzfeld Caribbean Basin Symbol ChangePairCorr
  0.49HGLB Highland Global AlloPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to China Fund could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace China Fund when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back China Fund - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling China Fund to buy it.
The correlation of China Fund is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as China Fund moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if China Fund moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for China Fund can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in China Fund

China Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Fund security.
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