Guaranty Bancshares, Stock Forward View
| GNTYDelisted Stock | USD 48.75 0.00 0.00% |
Guaranty Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Guaranty Bancshares,'s share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Guaranty Bancshares,, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Guaranty Bancshares, hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guaranty Bancshares from the perspective of Guaranty Bancshares, response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guaranty Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 49.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.96. Guaranty Bancshares, after-hype prediction price | USD 48.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guaranty |
Guaranty Bancshares, Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guaranty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guaranty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guaranty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Guaranty Bancshares, Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Guaranty Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 49.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 0.84, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.96.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Guaranty Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Guaranty Bancshares,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Guaranty Bancshares, Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Guaranty Bancshares, | Guaranty Bancshares, Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Guaranty Bancshares, stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Guaranty Bancshares, stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9357 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7534 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.9585 |
Predictive Modules for Guaranty Bancshares,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guaranty Bancshares,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guaranty Bancshares,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guaranty Bancshares, After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guaranty Bancshares, at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guaranty Bancshares, or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guaranty Bancshares,, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guaranty Bancshares, Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guaranty Bancshares,'s stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guaranty Bancshares,'s historical news coverage. Guaranty Bancshares,'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.75 and 48.75, respectively. We have considered Guaranty Bancshares,'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guaranty Bancshares, is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guaranty Bancshares, is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guaranty Bancshares, Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guaranty Bancshares, is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guaranty Bancshares, backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guaranty Bancshares,, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.75 | 48.75 | 0.00 |
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Guaranty Bancshares, Hype Timeline
Guaranty Bancshares, is currently traded for 48.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Guaranty is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guaranty Bancshares, is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.75. About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guaranty Bancshares, last dividend was issued on the 19th of September 2025. The entity had 11:10 split on the 12th of February 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in child.Guaranty Bancshares, Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guaranty Bancshares,'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guaranty Bancshares,'s future price movements. Getting to know how Guaranty Bancshares,'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guaranty Bancshares, may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMNB | American National Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TFIN | Triumph Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.1 | 4.96 | (3.30) | 14.60 | |
| EBTC | Enterprise Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HTB | HomeTrust Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.31 | 0.06 | 2.66 | (2.38) | 9.13 | |
| LBC | Luther Burbank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MCBC | Macatawa Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CSTR | Capstar Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FRC | FIRST REP BK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MBIN | Merchants Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.56 | 0.17 | 4.14 | (2.97) | 13.19 |
Guaranty Bancshares, Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Guaranty Bancshares, stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Guaranty Bancshares, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guaranty Bancshares, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Guaranty Bancshares, Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Guaranty Bancshares, stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Guaranty Bancshares, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Guaranty Bancshares, stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Guaranty Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Guaranty Bancshares,
The number of cover stories for Guaranty Bancshares, depends on current market conditions and Guaranty Bancshares,'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Guaranty Bancshares, is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Guaranty Bancshares,'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Guaranty Bancshares, Short Properties
Guaranty Bancshares,'s future price predictability will typically decrease when Guaranty Bancshares,'s long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Guaranty Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Guaranty Bancshares,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Guaranty Bancshares,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 110.8 M |
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in child. You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Other Consideration for investing in Guaranty Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Guaranty Bancshares, check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Guaranty Bancshares,'s history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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