Guaranty Bancshares, Stock Market Value
| GNTY Stock | USD 37.32 0.33 0.88% |
| Symbol | Guaranty |
Guaranty Bancshares, Price To Book Ratio
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Guaranty Bancshares,. If investors know Guaranty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Guaranty Bancshares, listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.203 | Dividend Share 0.95 | Earnings Share 2.38 | Revenue Per Share 10.207 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
The market value of Guaranty Bancshares, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Guaranty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Guaranty Bancshares,'s value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Guaranty Bancshares,'s true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Guaranty Bancshares,'s market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Guaranty Bancshares,'s underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Guaranty Bancshares,'s value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guaranty Bancshares, is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guaranty Bancshares,'s price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Guaranty Bancshares, 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Guaranty Bancshares,'s stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Guaranty Bancshares,.
| 10/29/2024 |
| 11/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Guaranty Bancshares, on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Guaranty Bancshares, or generate 0.0% return on investment in Guaranty Bancshares, over 30 days. Guaranty Bancshares, is related to or competes with First Community, Community West, First Financial, First Northwest, Home Federal, LINKBANCORP, and Rhinebeck Bancorp. Guaranty Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Guaranty Bank Trust, N.A More
Guaranty Bancshares, Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Guaranty Bancshares,'s stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Guaranty Bancshares, upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.42 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0243 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.64 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.89) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.8 |
Guaranty Bancshares, Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Guaranty Bancshares,'s investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Guaranty Bancshares,'s standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Guaranty Bancshares, historical prices to predict the future Guaranty Bancshares,'s volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0674 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0229 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0954 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guaranty Bancshares,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guaranty Bancshares, Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Guaranty Stock to be very steady. Guaranty Bancshares, holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0636, which attests that the entity had a 0.0636% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Guaranty Bancshares,, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please check out Guaranty Bancshares,'s risk adjusted performance of 0.0674, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1054 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Guaranty Bancshares, has a performance score of 5 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.79, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Guaranty Bancshares, will likely underperform. Guaranty Bancshares, right now retains a risk of 2.31%. Please check out Guaranty Bancshares, value at risk, and the relationship between the standard deviation and kurtosis , to decide if Guaranty Bancshares, will be following its current trending patterns.
Auto-correlation | 0.74 |
Good predictability
Guaranty Bancshares, has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Guaranty Bancshares, time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Guaranty Bancshares, price movement. The serial correlation of 0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Guaranty Bancshares, price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.76 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.8 |
Guaranty Bancshares, lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Guaranty Bancshares, stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Guaranty Bancshares,'s stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Guaranty Bancshares, returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Guaranty Bancshares, has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Guaranty Bancshares, regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Guaranty Bancshares, stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Guaranty Bancshares, stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Guaranty Bancshares, stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Guaranty Bancshares, Lagged Returns
When evaluating Guaranty Bancshares,'s market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Guaranty Bancshares, stock have on its future price. Guaranty Bancshares, autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Guaranty Bancshares, autocorrelation shows the relationship between Guaranty Bancshares, stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Guaranty Bancshares,.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Guaranty Stock Analysis
When running Guaranty Bancshares,'s price analysis, check to measure Guaranty Bancshares,'s market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guaranty Bancshares, is operating at the current time. Most of Guaranty Bancshares,'s value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guaranty Bancshares,'s future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guaranty Bancshares,'s price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guaranty Bancshares, to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.