Guaranty Bancshares Price Patterns
| GNTYDelisted Stock | USD 48.75 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Guaranty Bancshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Guaranty Bancshares from the perspective of Guaranty Bancshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Guaranty Bancshares to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Guaranty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Guaranty Bancshares after-hype prediction price | USD 48.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Guaranty |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Guaranty Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Guaranty Bancshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Guaranty Bancshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Guaranty Bancshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Guaranty Bancshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Guaranty Bancshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Guaranty Bancshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Guaranty Bancshares' historical news coverage. Guaranty Bancshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.75 and 48.75, respectively. We have considered Guaranty Bancshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Guaranty Bancshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Guaranty Bancshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Guaranty Bancshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Guaranty Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Guaranty Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Guaranty Bancshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.75 | 48.75 | 0.00 |
|
Guaranty Bancshares Hype Timeline
Guaranty Bancshares is currently traded for 48.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Guaranty is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Guaranty Bancshares is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.75. About 22.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.67. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Guaranty Bancshares last dividend was issued on the 19th of September 2025. The entity had 11:10 split on the 12th of February 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.Guaranty Bancshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Guaranty Bancshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Guaranty Bancshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Guaranty Bancshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Guaranty Bancshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMNB | American National Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TFIN | Triumph Financial | (0.08) | 29 per month | 2.08 | 0.05 | 4.96 | (3.53) | 14.60 | |
| EBTC | Enterprise Bancorp | 0.07 | 9 per month | 2.29 | (0.02) | 3.33 | (3.00) | 11.98 | |
| HTB | HomeTrust Bancshares | (0.87) | 8 per month | 1.35 | 0.03 | 2.66 | (2.38) | 9.13 | |
| LBC | Luther Burbank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MCBC | Macatawa Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CSTR | Capstar Financial Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FRC | FIRST REP BK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MBIN | Merchants Bancorp | 1.36 | 9 per month | 1.59 | 0.11 | 4.14 | (2.97) | 8.63 |
Guaranty Bancshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Guaranty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Guaranty using various technical indicators. When you analyze Guaranty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Guaranty Bancshares Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Guaranty Bancshares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Guaranty Bancshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Guaranty Bancshares based on analysis of Guaranty Bancshares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Guaranty Bancshares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Guaranty Bancshares's related companies.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Other Consideration for investing in Guaranty Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Guaranty Bancshares check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Guaranty Bancshares' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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