Genworth Financial Stock Forward View
| GNW Stock | USD 8.34 0.06 0.71% |
Genworth Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Genworth Financial's share price is approaching 43. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Genworth Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.453 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.45 | Wall Street Target Price 10 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.05 |
Using Genworth Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genworth Financial from the perspective of Genworth Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Genworth Financial using Genworth Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Genworth using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Genworth Financial's stock price.
Genworth Financial Short Interest
An investor who is long Genworth Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Genworth Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Genworth Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.1114 | Short Percent 0.028 | Short Ratio 1.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.7 M | 50 Day MA 8.7156 |
Genworth Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genworth Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 8.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.50.Genworth Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Genworth Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Genworth. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genworth can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genworth Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Genworth Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Genworth Financial.
Genworth Financial Implied Volatility | 1.07 |
Genworth Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Genworth Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Genworth Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Genworth Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Genworth Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genworth Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 8.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.50. Genworth Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genworth Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Genworth contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Genworth Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0669% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Genworth Financial trading at USD 8.34, that is roughly USD 0.005577 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Genworth Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Genworth Financial options at the current volatility level of 1.07%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Genworth Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Genworth Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Genworth Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Genworth Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Genworth Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Genworth Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Genworth Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Genworth. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Genworth Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Genworth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genworth using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genworth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Genworth Financial's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2003-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.8 B | Current Value 2 B | Quarterly Volatility 17.7 B |
Genworth Financial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Genworth Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 8.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.50.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Genworth Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Genworth Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Genworth Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Genworth Financial | Genworth Financial Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Genworth Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Genworth Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Genworth Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.39 and 9.84, respectively. We have considered Genworth Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Genworth Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Genworth Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.3963 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0738 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0086 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.5048 |
Predictive Modules for Genworth Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Genworth Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Genworth Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Genworth Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Genworth Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Genworth Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Genworth Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Genworth Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Genworth Financial's historical news coverage. Genworth Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.22, respectively. We have considered Genworth Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Genworth Financial is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Genworth Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Genworth Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Genworth Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Genworth Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Genworth Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Genworth Financial Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Genworth Financial is traded for 8.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Genworth is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Genworth Financial is about 13725.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.34. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Genworth Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.72. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of October 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genworth Financial to cross-verify your projections.Genworth Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Genworth Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Genworth Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Genworth Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Genworth Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CNO | CNO Financial Group | (0.09) | 3 per month | 1.18 | 0.03 | 2.09 | (1.93) | 7.94 | |
| BHF | Brighthouse Financial | (0.08) | 11 per month | 0.71 | 0.11 | 0.67 | (1.28) | 31.02 | |
| FG | FG Annuities Life | (0.19) | 9 per month | 2.18 | (0.01) | 3.09 | (3.36) | 11.40 | |
| BBAR | BBVA Banco Frances | 1.33 | 5 per month | 2.13 | 0.16 | 7.84 | (4.44) | 16.84 | |
| HASI | Hannon Armstrong Sustainable | 0.66 | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.13 | 2.97 | (2.32) | 14.97 | |
| INDB | Independent Bank | (2.22) | 7 per month | 0.99 | 0.15 | 2.97 | (1.83) | 8.01 | |
| UCB | United Community Banks | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.13 | 2.80 | (1.36) | 8.46 | |
| AHL | Aspen Insurance Holdings | 0.65 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 0.22 | (0.19) | 0.76 | |
| CNS | Cohen Steers | (0.15) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.92 | (3.12) | 9.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for Genworth Financial
For every potential investor in Genworth, whether a beginner or expert, Genworth Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genworth Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genworth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genworth Financial's price trends.Genworth Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genworth Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genworth Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genworth Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Genworth Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genworth Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genworth Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genworth Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genworth Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Genworth Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Genworth Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genworth Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genworth stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9176 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Variance | 1.44 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Genworth Financial
The number of cover stories for Genworth Financial depends on current market conditions and Genworth Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genworth Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genworth Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Genworth Financial Short Properties
Genworth Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Genworth Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genworth Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genworth Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genworth Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 439.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.7 B |
Additional Tools for Genworth Stock Analysis
When running Genworth Financial's price analysis, check to measure Genworth Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Genworth Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Genworth Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Genworth Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Genworth Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Genworth Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.